Showing 1 - 10 of 3,559
nowcasting and forecasting quarterly world GDP using mixed-frequency models. We find that a recently proposed indicator that … use this indicator to track the evolution of the nowcasts for the US, the OECD area, and the world economy during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315045
This paper estimates the preference scores of CoCo bond buyers and sellers by running multinomial logistic regressions taking into account both bond and issuing banks' characteristics; it also provides evidence on the role of country−specific CoCo bond market concentration. Buyers are defined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849808
This paper analyzes the impact of financial development on export concentration. I incorporate credit constraints into a trade model with heterogeneous exporters and endogenous quality choice. The model predicts that financial development increases innovation activity and export shares of larger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255423
influential in recent policy discussions. It notes potentially important features of the real- world environment that the standard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833728
results with the models being even more closely matched. The same models that were the top performers in VaR comparison also … perform significantly better in ES estimation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010289638
We introduce a new hybrid approach to joint estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) for high … lower cost in capital reserves. In ES estimation the hybrid model yields the smallest error statistics surpassing even the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265962
directional forecasts. The tests are applied to the categorical exchange rate forecasts in the ifo-Institute's World Economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834366
This paper examines the advantages and drawbacks of alternative methods of estimating oil supply and oil demand elasticities and of incorporating this information into structural VAR models. I not only summarize the state of the literature, but also draw attention to a number of econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822493
This paper provides a detailed assessment of the real-time forecast accuracy of a wide range of vector autoregressive models (VAR) that allow for both structural change and indicators sampled at different frequencies. We extend the literature by evaluating a mixed-frequency time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842676
-time out-of-sample forecasting comparison study with one of the most widely used data sets in the newer forecasting literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315147