Showing 1 - 10 of 1,171
Turkey, and a positive one in the case of Russia. The vulnerability of energy-dependent sectors to global fluctuations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211113
This paper examines the asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and oil price uncertainty (OPU) on inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the 1990s until August 2022 for a number of developed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260984
This paper examines the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on stock returns, CDS and economic activity in the US and the … the dates from the first confirmed COVID-19 cases in these countries to February 19, 2021. Specifically, we estimate first … benchmark linear VAR models and then, given the evidence of parameter instability, TVP-VAR models with stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211119
dynamics of oil price volatility by examining interactions between oil market and exchange rate in selected MENA countries …) to examine the presence of volatility spillover between oil prices and exchange rates return series. The econometric … rates, and ii) there is significant evidence of volatility spillovers from oil markets to exchange rate markets in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908723
smooth their domestic consumption; however, it can also amplify volatility in consumption, depending on the currency in which … external debt portfolios, exchange rate cyclicality, and volatility in consumption of low- and middle-income countries. Since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241998
IMF programs are often considered to carry a “stigma” that triggers adverse market reactions. We show that such a negative IMF effect disappears when accounting for endogenous selection into programs. To proxy for a country's access to financial markets, we use credit ratings and investor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920590
This paper analyses the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the degree of persistence of European stock markets … not been any significant impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the degree of persistence of the European stock market indices …, though their volatility persistence has decreased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322780
This paper analyses the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on stock market returns and their volatility in the case of the … particularly severe Covid-19 conditions decrease returns in the non-G7 countries whilst increase volatility in the G7 ones. Fiscal … G20 countries. In contrast to the existing empirical literature, which typically focuses only on either Covid-19 deaths …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211740
demand and supply shocks. The results show that higher macroeconomic uncertainty, as measured by higher world industrial … production volatility, significantly increases the responsiveness of oil prices to oil shocks. This implies a lower price … volatility. Also the impact of oil shocks on economic activity appears to be significantly stronger in uncertain times. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288244
There has been much interest in the relationship between the price of crude oil, the value of the U.S. dollar, and the U.S. interest rate since the 1980s. For example, the sustained surge in the real price of oil in the 2000s is often attributed to the declining real value of the U.S. dollar as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892101