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Optimal Conservatism and Collective Monetary Policymaking Under Uncertainty
Hefeker, Carsten - 2014
We study how the optimal degree of conservatism relates to decision-making procedures in a Monetary Policy Committee … (MPC). In our framework, central bank conservatism is required to attenuate the volatility of monetary decisions generated … by the presence of uncertainty about the committee members' output objective. We show how this need for conservatism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047346
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Central Bank Independence and Conservatism Under Uncertainty : Substitutes or Complements?
Hefeker, Carsten - 2013
The paper examines the optimal combination of central bank independence and conservatism in the presence of uncertain … bank's degree of inde-pendence and conservatism so as to minimise society's loss function. We find that the optimal … combination between independence and conservatism is not necessarily characterised by substitutability. When uncertainty about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093869
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Political Pressures and Monetary Mystique
Geraats, Petra M. - 2021
Central bank independence and transparency have become best practice in monetary policy. This paper cautions that transparency about economic information may not be beneficial in the absence of central bank independence. The reason is that it reduces monetary uncertainty, which could make the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317033
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International Inflation Spillovers Through Input Linkages
Auer, Raphael - 2017
We document that observed international input-output linkages contribute substantially to synchronizing producer price inflation (PPI) across countries. Using a multi-country, industry-level dataset that combines information on PPI and exchange rates with international and domestic input-output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958731
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Emu Enlargement, Policy Uncertainty and Economic Reforms
Hefeker, Carsten - 2021
The paper analyzes the relation between monetary uncertainty and government incentives to implement economic reforms that reduce structural distortions and make economies more flexible. It is shown that uncertainty about the central bank's reaction function leads to more reforms. I relate this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317517
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The Role of Political Institutions for the Effectiveness of Central Bank Independence
Hielscher, Kai; Markwardt, Gunther - 2021
This paper empirically studies the impact of the quality of political institutions on the link between central bank independence and inflation. Making use of data on the evolution of central bank independence over time and controlling for possible nonlinearities, we employ interaction models to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316036
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Monetary Policy in Turkey after Central Bank Independence
Gürkaynak, Refet S. - 2015
We present an accessible narrative of the Turkish economy since its great 2001 crisis. We broadly survey economic developments and pay particular attention to monetary policy. The data suggests that the Central Bank of Turkey was a strong inflation targeter early in this period but began to pay...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011437
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Monetary policy in Turkey after Central Bank independence
Gürkaynak, Refet S.; Kantur, Zeynep; Tas, M. Anil; … - 2015
We present an accessible narrative of the Turkish economy since its great 2001 crisis. We broadly survey economic developments and pay particular attention to monetary policy. The data suggests that the Central Bank of Turkey was a strong inflation targeter early in this period but began to pay...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348828
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Monetary Policies of Large Industrialised Countries, Emerging Market Credit Cycles and Feedback Effects
Hoffmann, Andreas - 2014
This paper explores the link between monetary policies of large industrial countries and international credit cycles. Based on an overinvestment framework, we show that in the prevailing asymmetric world monetary system, monetary policies of large centre countries can fuel credit booms in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054962
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Fiscal Transfers in a Monetary Union with Exit Option
Hefeker, Carsten - 2015
It is widely debated whether a monetary union has to be accompanied by a fiscal transfer scheme to accommodate asymmetric shocks. We build a model of a monetary union with a central bank and two heterogeneous countries that are linked by a fiscal transfer scheme with repercussions on monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025966