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In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … dynamic panel including annual data for 119 countries over the period 1970-2010, and also carry out multivariate Granger … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092691
demand and supply shocks. The results show that higher macroeconomic uncertainty, as measured by higher world industrial … production volatility, significantly increases the responsiveness of oil prices to oil shocks. This implies a lower price … volatility. Also the impact of oil shocks on economic activity appears to be significantly stronger in uncertain times …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065379
and inflation in the member countries. Stress in a country is defined as the difference between the country's actual short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317182
Carlo experiments, where we also study the estimation of the aggregate effects of micro and macro shocks. The paper … concludes with an empirical application to consumer price inflation in Germany, France and Italy, and re-examines the extent to … which ‘observed' inflation persistence at the aggregate level is due to aggregation and/or common unobserved factors. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038262
We document a novel role of heterogeneity in price rigidity: It strongly amplifies the capacity of idiosyncratic shocks to drive aggregate fluctuations. Heterogeneity in price rigidity also completely changes the identity of sectors from which fluctuations originate. We show these results both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908795
predicts a short-term inflation-output trade-off, a liquidity effect, countercyclical markups, and procyclical wages after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933792
restrictions which are not rejected by the data - the cost channel helps to generate an initial rise of inflation after a monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753889
We investigate the international linkages of inflation uncertainty in the G7. In a first step, we document that … inflation uncertainty in the G7 is intertwined. Moreover, the degree of synchronization has increased during the recent two … international shock that drives national inflation uncertainty and which is closely related to oil and commodity price uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082970
;Great Moderationquot; can be found in firm level data as well remains disputed. We study the evolution of firm level output volatility … using a balanced panel dataset on German firms that covers 35 years (1971-2005) and about 1,500 firms per year. In contrast … trends in unconditional firm level and aggregated output volatility in Germany are similar. There has been a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753581
volatility from sectoral shocks, (ii) amplifies both the “granular” and the “network” effects, (iii) alters the identity and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947907