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We review the labor market implications of recent real-business-cycle models that successfully replicate the empirical equity premium. We document the fact that all models considered in this survey with the exception of Boldrin, Christiano, and Fisher (2001) imply a negative correlation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093653
, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED …-sectional fit of the yield curve. Second, we find that financial shocks, either in the form of liquidity or risk premium shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095098
return correlations using weekly returns on futures markets and investigate the extent to which multivariate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094817
We estimate a Markow-switching dynamic factor model with three states based on six leading business cycle indicators for Germany preselected from a broader set using the Elastic Net soft-thresholding rule. The three states represent expansions, normal recessions and severe recessions. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955198
Small businesses tend to be owned by wealthy households. Such entrepreneur households also own a large share of U.S. stock market wealth. Fluctuations in entrepreneurs' hunger for risk could therefore help explain time variation in the equity premium. The paper suggests an entrepreneurial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317587
The term structure of equity returns is downward-sloping: stocks with high cash flow duration earn 1.10% per month lower returns than short-duration stocks in the cross section. I create a measure of cash flow duration at the firm level using balance sheet data to show this novel fact. Factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981605
: the probability of a liquidity crisis leading to a binding investment-finance constraint falls with a strong protection of … across countries with lower average stock market volatility, crises are more frequent in countries with poor creditor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091211
We study a competitive model in which market incompleteness implies that debt-financed firms may default in some states of nature and default may lead to the sale of the firms' assets at fire sale prices when markets are illiquid. This incompleteness is the only friction in the model and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116475
equilibria which can be ranked in terms of liquidity, volatility, and informational efficiency. We establish the limits of the …We consider a two-period market with persistent liquidity trading and risk averse privately informed investors who have … a one period horizon. With persistence, prices reflect average expectations about fundamentals and liquidity trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316042
where demand shifts stochastically between three different states, each with different rates of drift and volatility. In our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156881