the period 1972:1-2014:12 to forecasts our tail risk indicators with each model in pseudo-real time. Our key finding is …

Using an economic model to assess welfare risk and resilience to disasters, this paper systematically tackles the … losses at the microeconomic level. Apart from the prioritization of regions based on resilience and welfare risk, we identify … risk from riverine floods. While there are similarities in the ranking of policies among regions with comparable levels of …

In accordance with Basel Capital Accords, the Capital Requirements (CR) for market risk exposure of banks is a … nonlinear function of Value-at-Risk (VaR). Importantly, the CR is calculated based on a bank's actual portfolio, i.e. the …

during the period of the financial crisis. In a Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis, finally, we further illustrate the advantages … confidence levels while other models fail to specify the risk correctly. This analysis shows that ignoring the actual nature of … dependence might lead to an underestimation of the risk for portfolios combining EUAs with commodities or equity investments …

From 1963 through 2015, idiosyncratic risk (IR) is high when market risk (MR) is high. We show that the positive … has roots in fundamentals. Higher market risk predicts greater idiosyncratic earnings volatility as well as dispersion and …