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On Comparing the Accuracy of Default Predictions in the Rating Industry

Kraemer, Walter; Güttler, André - 2021

We consider 1927 borrowers from 54 countries who had a credit rating by both Moody's and S&P at the end of 1998, and their subsequent default history up to the end of 2002. Viewing bond ratings as predicted probabilities of default, we consider partial orderings among competing probability...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316604

Default Predictors and Credit Scoring Models for Retail Banking

Kočenda, Evžen - 2013

This paper develops a specification of the credit scoring model with high discriminatory power to analyze data on loans at the retail banking market. Parametric and non- parametric approaches are employed to produce three models using logistic regression (parametric) and one model using...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095290

Firm Heterogeneity and Credit Risk Diversification

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2013

This paper considers a simple model of credit risk and derives the limit distribution of losses under different assumptions regarding the structure of systematic and idiosyncratic risks and the nature of firm heterogeneity. It documents a rich and complex interaction between the underlying model...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754519

Illiquidity and Under-Valuation of Firms

Gale, Douglas - 2012

We study a competitive model in which market incompleteness implies that debt-financed firms may default in some states of nature and default may lead to the sale of the firms' assets at fire sale prices when markets are illiquid. This incompleteness is the only friction in the model and the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116475

Debt Recovery in Firm Liquidations : Do Liquidation Trustees Matter?

Cepec, Jaka - 2016

Insolvency systems play a crucial role in protection of creditor rights, yet micro-level empirical evidence on the … functioning of insolvency regimes worldwide is sparse. We investigate whether creditors' recovery of outstanding claims, a measure … of ex-post efficiency of an insolvency regime, depends on the characteristics of the trustee delegated the administration …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982336

Creditor Passivity : The Effects of Bank Competition and Institutions on the Strategic Use of Bankruptcy Filings

Hainz, Christa - 2021

Why do banks remain passive? In a model of bank-firm relationship we study the trade-off a bank faces when having defaulting firms declared bankrupt. First, the bank receives a payoff if a firm is liquidated. Second, it provides information about a firm's type to its competitors. Thereby,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316824

Credit Derivates and the Default Risk of Large Complex Financial Institutions

Calice, Giovanni - 2013

This paper addresses the impact of developments in the credit risk transfer market on the viability of a group of systemically important financial institutions. We propose a bank default risk model, in the vein of the classic Merton-type, which utilizes a multi-equation framework to model...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092380

Unexpected Loan Losses and Bank Capital in an Estimated DSGE Model of the Euro Area

Hristov, Nikolay - 2016

We develop a stylized DSGE model in which banks face capital regulation and their loan portfolios are subject to non-diversifiable losses due to aggregate shocks. The framework is used to explore the importance of the interaction between macroeconomic conditions, credit default and bank...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978077

Do Better Capitalized Banks Lend Less? Long-Run Panel Evidence from Germany

Buch, Claudia M. - 2013

Insufficient capital buffers of banks have been identified as one main cause for the large systemic effects of the recent financial crisis. Although higher capital is no panacea, it yet features prominently in proposals for regulatory reform. But how do increased capital requirements affect...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090793

When Arm's Length is Too Far. Relationship Banking Over the Business Cycle

Beck, Thorsten - 2014

Using a novel way to identify relationship and transaction banks, we study how banks' lending techniques affect funding to SMEs over the business cycle. For 21 countries we link the lending techniques that banks use in the direct vicinity of firms to these firms' credit constraints at two...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050469