Showing 1 - 10 of 494
This paper considers the problem of model uncertainty in the case of multi-asset volatility models and discusses the … management. Evaluation of volatility models is then considered and a simple Value-at-Risk (VaR) diagnostic test is proposed for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316571
This paper analyses the long-memory properties of a high-frequency financial time series dataset. It focuses on temporal aggregation and other features of the data, and how they might affect the degree of dependence of the series. Fractional integration or I(d) models are estimated with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082343
estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756639
This paper analyses the effects of fiscal shocks using a two-country macroeconomic model for output, labour input, government spending and relative prices which provides the orthogonality restrictions for obtaining the structural shocks. Dynamic simulation techniques are then applied, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316574
We investigate the dynamics of prices, information and expectations in a competitive, noisy, dynamic asset pricing equilibrium model with long-term investors. We argue that the fact that prices can score worse or better than consensus opinion in predicting the fundamentals is a product of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134234
We propose a new method (implemented in an R-program) to simulate long-range daily stock-price data. The program reproduces various stylized facts much better than various parametric models from the extended GARCH-family. In particular, the empirically observed changes in unconditional variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994786
-run demand shocks. In this setup, the volatility of a firm's exports depends not only on the diversification of its destination … destinations makes the firm more likely to export occasionally to some markets, thereby raising volatility. These results cast … doubt on the commonly held belief that diversification must decrease volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048894
offshoring plays for domestic volatility of employment. Offshoring is modeled as in Antràs & Helpman (2004), but we assume … has a pro-offshoring effect. And 2), under this same condition, offshoring increases volatility in domestic employment of … offshoring firms and the volatility of offshore employment of these same firms is larger than volatility of domestic employment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986173
has roots in fundamentals. Higher market risk predicts greater idiosyncratic earnings volatility as well as dispersion and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950299
conditional volatility across investment horizons. The results reveal the same kind of horizon effect as the one found in recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160520