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We develop a method for directly modeling cointegrated multivariate time series that are observed in mixed frequencies. We regard lower-frequency data as regularly (or irregularly) missing and treat them with higher-frequency data by adopting a state-space model. This utilizes the structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317180
This paper examines several US monthly financial time series data using fractional integration and cointegration … exploiting recent developments in fractional cointegration allows to investigate in greater depth the relationships between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126003
In this paper we use fractional integration techniques to examine the degree of integration of four US stock market indices, namely the Standard and Poor, Dow Jones, Nasdaq and NYSE, at a daily frequency from January 2005 till December 2009. We analyse the weekly structure of the series and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316133
the US, the Eurozone, Australia, Canada, Japan and the UK using fractional integration and cointegration techniques … Eurozone and UK ones, Canadian rates with the UK and US ones, and Japanese rates with the UK ones. The increasing degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958879
period 1966-2009 using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The degree of integration and non-linearity of … both series are found to vary considerably across states, whilst the fractional cointegration analysis suggests that a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019858
The ‘saving for a rainy day' hypothesis implies that households' saving decisions reflect that they can (rationally) predict future income declines. The empirical relevance of this hypothesis plays a key role in discussions of fiscal policy multipliers and it holds under the null that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022495
Despite the fact that many aggregates are nonlinear functions and the aggregation weights of many macroeconomic aggregates are time-varying, much of the literature on forecasting aggregates considers the case of linear aggregates with fixed, time-invariant aggregation weights. In this study a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144208
This paper investigates the empirical relevance of different unemployment theories in three major economies, namely the UK, the US and Japan, by estimating the degree of dependence in the unemployment series. Both univariate and multivariate long memory methods are used. The results vary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060039
within a panel cointegration framework. Besides the total net issues, we distinguish between large, medium and small euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912426
fractional integration and fractional cointegration techniques. These methods are more general and have higher power than the … both the S&P 500 Index and the Euro Stoxx 50 Index. Also, fractional cointegration appears to hold at least for the … diverging growth and monetary policy. Establishing whether the degree of cointegration has changed over time is important since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013497