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The real option theory provides a useful tool to evaluate an R&D investment under uncertainty because, unlike the NPV (Net Present Value), it considers the managerial flexibility that may be expand the investment opportunity value. However, most R&D investment projects are open to competing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157504
The possibility of low-probability extreme events has reignited the debate over the optimal intensity and timing of climate policy. In this paper we therefore contribute to the literature by assessing the implications of low-probability extreme events on environmental policy in a continuous-time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139799
where demand shifts stochastically between three different states, each with different rates of drift and volatility. In our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156881
The quintessence of recent natural science studies is that the 2°C target can only be achieved with massive emission reductions in the next few years. The central twist of this paper is the addition of this limited time to act into a non-perpetual real options framework analyzing optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315946
As the time of leaving school determines the level of academic achievement this timing decision is central for the human capital investment decision. Real option theory offers a new perspective of the human capital investment decision under uncertainty and irreversibility. Unlike other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316303
The effects of stochastic oil demand on optimal oil extraction paths and tax, spending and government debt policies are analyzed when the oil demand schedule is linear and preferences quadratic. Without prudence, optimal oil extraction is governed by the Hotelling rule and optimal budgetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094761
This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315722
has roots in fundamentals. Higher market risk predicts greater idiosyncratic earnings volatility as well as dispersion and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950299
Our paper examines the effect of oil price changes on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets using nonlinear smooth transition regression (STR) models. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our empirical results reveal that GCC stock markets do not have similar sensitivities to oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914946
our implementation is insensitive to outliers. Many of the previously identified return predictors do not provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910613