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Exchange Rate Forecasters' Performance : Evidence of Skill?

MacDonald, Ronald - 2013

This paper sheds new light on a long-standing puzzle in the international finance literature, namely, that exchange rate expectations appear inaccurate and even irrational. We find for a comprehensive dataset that individual forecasters' performance is skill-based. 'Superior' forecasters show...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095998

Suicide Attacks and Religious Cleavages

Filote, Andra - 2015

Many experts claim that the incidence of suicide attacks is driven by religious cleavages. To test this hypothesis, we investigate whether the total number of suicide attacks per violent conflict or the annual number of suicide attacks per country is associated with simmering religious...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028899

Economic Freedom and Religion : An Empirical Investigation

Hillman, Arye L. - 2016

, there has been little study of the determinants of economic freedom. We investigate whether religion affects economic …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984498

Policies Against Human Trafficking : The Role of Religion and Political Institutions

Potrafke, Niklas - 2021

I investigate empirically the role of religion and political institutions in policies against human trafficking, using … influence of religion on the overall 3P Anti-trafficking Policy Index is driven by protection and prevention policies. As … empirical findings regarding the association between religion, political institutions, and human development …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315758

Forecasting Exchange Rates : An Investor Perspective

Melvin, Michael - 2013

rates approach forecasting from a different perspective. Rather than focus on forecast errors for bilateral exchange rates …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081705

School Competition and Students' Entrepreneurial Intentions : International Evidence Using Historical Catholic Roots of Private Schooling

Falck, Oliver - 2010

School choice research mostly focuses on academic outcomes. Policymakers increasingly view entrepreneurial traits as a non-cognitive outcome important for economic growth. We use international PISA-2006 student-level data to estimate the effect of private-school competition on students'...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142145

Terror Per Capita

Jetter, Michael - 2017

Usually, studies analyzing terrorism focus on the total number of casualties or attacks in a given county. However, per capita rates of terrorism are more likely to matter for individual welfare. Analyzing 214 countries from 1970-2014, we show that three stylized findings are overturned in terms...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961945

The Preoccupation of the United Nations with Israel : Evidence and Theory

Becker, Raphael N. - 2015

We compiled data on all United Nations General Assembly resolutions on which voting took place between January 1990 and June 2013 and find a preoccupation with one country: in 65 percent of instances in which a country is criticized in a resolution, the country is Israel, with no other country...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031953

Manipulating Fiscal Forecasts : Evidence from the German States

Kauder, Björn - 2017

We examine whether German state governments manipulated fiscal forecasts before elections. Our data set includes three fiscal measures over the period 1980-2014. The results do not show that electoral motives influenced fiscal forecasts in West German states. By contrast, East German state...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962666

Forecasting the Brent Oil Price : Addressing Time-Variation in Forecast Performance

Manescu, Cristiana - 2017

This paper explores a range of different forecast methods for Brent oil prices and analyses their performance relative … across forecast horizons. To address this instability, we propose a forecast combination for predicting quarterly real Brent … generates forecasts whose performance is robust over time. The improvements in forecast accuracy and stability are noticeable in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964616