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DSGE-models have become important tools of analysis not only in academia but increasingly in the board rooms of central banks. The success of these models has much to do with the coherence of the intellectual framework it provides. The limitations of these models come from the fact that they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753586
increasing term structure for the risk premium. It also implies that, under the assumption that the cummulants of the … investment is larger than half of relative risk aversion. Another important consequence of parametric uncertainty is that the … risk premium is not proportional to the beta of the investment. We apply these general results to the case of an uncertain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315817
We show that the impact of government bailouts (liquidity injections) on a representative bank's risk taking depends on … the level of systematic risk of its loans portfolio. In a model where bank's output follows a geometric Brownian motion … take on more risk depending on the level of systematic risk; if systematic risk is high (low), a more generous bailout …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922858
We propose a simple and powerful numerical algorithm to compute the transition process in continuous-time dynamic equilibrium models with rare events. In this paper we transform the dynamic system of stochastic differential equations into a system of functional differential equations of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125693
risk preferences. Here, we develop an analogous tool for choice under uncertainty – the ambiguity triangle – and show that … characterize this heterogeneity with finite-mixture estimates of a one-parameter extension of Expected Utility Theory wherein 48 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019415
We develop a theoretical framework to explain firms' offshoring decisions in the presence of uncertainty. This model highlights the role of labor market institutions in shaping a firm's ability to effectively react upon future shocks, yielding a sharp prediction of the prevalence of offshoring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910629
Global climate change and other environmental challenges require the development of new energy technologies with lower emissions. In the near-term, R&D investments, either by government or the private sector, can bring down the costs of these lower emission technologies. However, the results of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018283
The paper examines the monetary-fiscal interactions in a monetary union model with uncertainty due to imperfect central bank transparency. We first show that monetary uncertainty disciplines fiscal policymakers and thereby reduces taxes, average inflation and output distortions. However, as more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753473
Temperature responses and optimal climate policies depend crucially on the choice of a particular climate model. To illustrate, the temperature responses to given emission reduction paths implied by the climate modules of the well-known integrated assessments models DICE, FUND and PAGE are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947620
regularities by developing a new firmbased trade model wherein managers are risk averse. Higher volatility induces the reallocation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315484