Showing 1 - 10 of 18
This paper analyzes the effect of the removal of government guarantees on bank risk taking. We exploit the removal of guarantees for German Landesbanken which results in lower credit ratings, higher funding costs, and a loss in franchise value. This removal was announced in 2001, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257239
collateral constraint on external debt and trading costs incurred by foreign investors. The probability of a financial crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459589
Using data on Chinese large-scale overseas investment and project contracts by sector, we analyze whether Chinese outward activity (COA) before the crisis worsened or alleviated the contractionary phases in developing countries. We find that, on average, COA did not increase vulnerability to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011420791
Trade finance shortfalls now appear regularly. Does this matter for trade expansion and economic development in developing countries? Global trade finance has resumed following the 2009 global financial crisis. However, the pattern of recovery has been uneven across countries and categories of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011645906
IMF programs are often considered to carry a "stigma" that triggers adverse market reactions. We show that such a negative IMF effect disappears when accounting for endogenous selection into programs. To proxy for a country's access to financial markets, we use credit ratings and investor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931328
Several developing economies witnessed a large number of systemic financial and currency crises since the 1980s which resulted in severe economic, social, and political problems. The devastating impact of the 1982 and 1994-95 Mexican crises, the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis, the 1998 Russian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003887495
This paper explains the puzzle of how a developing economy can shift from a path of reasonable growth before a financial crisis, as in Mexico in 1994, to a sharp decline in economic activity after a crisis occurs. It does so by outlining an asymmetric information framework for analyzing banking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473248
In this paper we examine closely the financial events following the Mexican peso devaluation to uncover new lessons about the nature of financial crises. We explore the question of why, during 1995, some emerging markets were hit by financial crises while others were not. To this end, we ask...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473272
The COVID-19 epidemic in emerging markets risks a combined health, economic, and debt crisis. We integrate a standard epidemiology model into a sovereign default model and study how default risk impacts the ability of these countries to respond to the epidemic. Lockdown policies are useful for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481857
of transmission to foreign firms. While this pattern usually follows a gravity structure, it often changes dramatically … during crises. For example, while crises originating in developed countries propagate disproportionately to foreign financial … to show that (i) elevated perceptions of a country's riskiness, particularly those of foreign and financial firms, are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696435