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The worst of both worlds : fiscal policy and fixed exchange rates

Born, Benjamin; D'Ascanio, Francesco; Müller, Gernot J.; … - 2019

Under fixed exchange rates, fiscal policy is an effective tool. According to classical views because it impacts the real exchange rate, according to Keynesian views because it impacts output. Both views have merit because the effects of government spending are asymmetric. A spending cut lowers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012118599

The bail-out! : positive political economics of greek-type crises in the EMU

Fahrholz, Christian; Wójcik, Cezary - 2010

analysis suggests that, given EMU's present political-economic set-up, i) the bail-out was unavoidable, ii) the lengthy process … with a future moral hazard problem. Based on our analysis, we suggest that the EMU's institutional design could be improved … processes as well as the conditions and parameters on which the scope and limits of fiscal redistribution in EMU depends. In …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008697133

The Eurozone needs exit rules

Fahrholz, Christian; Wójcik, Cezary - 2012

This paper argues that the key issue for defining and solving the Eurozone's (EZ) difficulties lies in readjusting the relationship between the centre and the periphery of the EZ. Our argument proceeds in two steps. Firstly, the basic finance problem of a centre-periphery system is captured by a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009570716

A temporary VAT cut as unconventional fiscal policy

Bachmann, Ruediger; Born, Benjamin; Goldfayn-Frank, Olga; … - 2021

We exploit the unexpected announcement of an immediate, temporary VAT cut in Germany in the second half of 2020 as a natural experiment to study the spending response to unconventional fiscal policy. We use survey and scanner data on households' consumption expenditures and their perceived...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668478

Catching up : the role of demand, supply and regulated price effects on the real exchange rates of four accession countries

MacDonald, Ronald; Wójcik, Cezary - 2003

The main aim of this paper is to examine the exchange rate behavior of a group of four transitional, EU accession countries, with a view to making policy recommendations regarding their accession to full European Monetary Union. We employ a dynamic OLS panel estimator to investigate the relative...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506491

The liquidity channel of fiscal policy

Bayer, Christian; Born, Benjamin; Luetticke, Ralph - 2020

We provide evidence that expansionary fiscal policy lowers the return difference between more and less liquid assets—the liquidity premium. We rationalize this finding in an estimated heterogeneous-agent New-Keynesian (HANK) model with incomplete markets and portfolio choice, in which public...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012231567

Fiscal sustainability in the EU after the global crisis : is there any progress?

Wysocki, Maciej; Wójcik, Cezary - 2018

In response to the global crisis a number of new institutional measures have been introduced in the fiscal framework, both on the UE and on the member states’ level, and the question is: have these measures provided better fiscal sustainability outcomes? We approach this question by looking at...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900847

Policy risk and the business cycle

Born, Benjamin; Pfeifer, Johannes - 2013 - This version: July 11, 2013, First Version: December 2010

The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic recovery in the U.S. during the Great Recession has a large popular appeal. We analyze the role of policy risk in explaining business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009772961

Shocks, frictions, and inequality in US business cycles

Bayer, Christian; Born, Benjamin; Luetticke, Ralph - 2020

How much does inequality matter for the business cycle and vice versa? Using a Bayesian likelihood approach, we estimate a heterogeneous-agent New-Keynesian (HANK) model with incomplete markets and portfolio choice between liquid and illiquid assets. The model enlarges the set of shocks and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162730

Populists and fiscal policy : the case of Poland

Wysocki, Maciej; Wójcik, Cezary; Freytag, Andreas - 2022

The past decade has witnessed an increase in populist movements across the world. Some of those movements have gained strong political support and formed populist governments promising new sets of economic and fiscal policies. This raises the pertinent policy question: how do such populist...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472411