Showing 1 - 10 of 65
. -- fiscal federalism ; local public goods ; externalities ; performance voting ; turnout uncertainty ; electoral accountability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965864
This paper provides experimental evidence on the electoral effect of a large education reform in a developing democracy. Despite significantly improving school quality, the policy reduced the incumbent party's presidential vote share by 3 percentage points (10%). This does not imply that voters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014336473
We use a change in the voting procedures of one of the two chambers of the Swiss parliament to explore how transparency … affects the voting behavior of its members. Until 2013, the Council of States (Ständerat) had voted by a show of hands. While …-consuming screening of online videos. In 2014, halfway through the legislative period, the chamber switched to electronic voting. Since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411279
This paper considers the implications of an important cognitive bias in information processing, confirmation bias, in a political agency setting. In the baseline two-period case where only the politician's actions are observable before the election, we show that when voters have this bias, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286492
two-stage elections, candidates are admitted to the second round of voting based on the outcome of the first round. I find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514279
This paper documents the existence of Political Forecast Cycles. In a theoretical model of political selection, we show that governments release overly optimistic GDP growth forecasts ahead of elections to increase the reelection probability. The bias arises from lack of commitment if voters are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514965
We implement a new approach for estimating the persuasive effects of political advertising. Our empirical strategy exploits FCC regulations that result in plausibly exogenous variation in the number of impressions across the borders of neighboring counties. Applying this approach to uniquely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434475
This paper investigates the merits of different democratic institutions when politics is uni-dimensional, there is uncertainty both about the preferences of the future electorate and the future polarization of political parties, and politicians have better information about the state of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011404317
understanding of this form of costly punishment to help explain a puzzle of voting behavior: why do people who are indifferent … between two potential policy outcomes of an election participate in large-scale elections when voting is costly? Using a … simple voting experiment, we show that many voters are willing to engage in voting as a form of punishment, even when voting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010393636
We estimate the effect of electorally induced policy uncertainty on investment in the manufacturing sector. Because state governors exercise considerable influence over legislation and considerable discretion over regulation and permitting, and because the policies relevant to business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451061