Showing 1 - 10 of 1,959
. The present paper highlights this problem referring to institutional details and empirical results related to Germany and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003204012
premium is very sensitive with regard to the utility parameters. -- equity premium ; production CAPM ; real-business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011127
We apply non-linear error-correction models to the empirical testing of the sustainability of the government's intertemporal budget constraint. Our empirical analysis, based on Italy, shows that the Italian government is meeting its intertemporal budget constraint, in spite of the high levels of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936661
-Gaussianity and general forms of weakly cross correlated errors. It does not require estimation of an invertible error covariance … against Sharpe-Lintner CAPM and Fama-French three factor models are found mainly during the recent financial crisis. Also we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646274
This paper examines the process of price discovery in the MTS system, which builds on the parallel quoting of euro-denominated government securities on a number of (relatively large) domestic markets and on a (relatively small) European marketplace (EuroMTS). Using twenty-seven months of daily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937257
This paper examines several US monthly financial time series data using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The univariate analysis based on fractional integration aims to determine whether the series are I(1) (in which case markets might be efficient) or alternatively I(d) with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011784
This paper considers what we argue was the first experiment of an exchangerate band. This experiment took place in Austria-Hungary between 1896 and1914. The rationale for introducing this policy rested on precisely thoseintuitions that modern target zone literature has recently emphasized:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399739
Modern investors face a high-dimensional prediction problem: thousands of observable variables are potentially relevant for forecasting. We reassess the conventional wisdom on market efficiency in light of this fact. In our model economy, which resembles a typical machine learning setting, N...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156724
We study sovereign bond yields in OECD countries with a dynamic panel by checking for cross-section dependence; assessing panel cointegration; and estimating panel error-correction models. The results show that markets consider budgetary and external imbalances and inflation as relevant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008653417
While the yield spread has long been recognized as a good predictor of recessions, it seems to have been largely …-rich environment including not just the yield spread but many other predictors as well. We confirm the puzzle in this context by … examining the contributions of both the SPF forecasts and the yield spread in predicting recessions, and by examining the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630664