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Fiscal sustainability and the role of inflation

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Matvejevs, Oļegs; … - 2023

We examine the relationship between inflation and fiscal sustainability with a two-step approach. In the first step, we … various measures of inflation such as headline inflation, core inflation, energy inflation, and food inflation affect the … estimate of fiscal sustainability found previously. Our findings indicate that higher inflation rates contribute positively to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444867

Macroeconomic policy lessons for Greece from the debt crisis

Oikonomidēs, Geōrgios; Papageorgiou, Dimitris; … - 2020

This paper first searches for the drivers of the Greek depression in the aftermath of the 2007-8 global crisis and in turn looks for engines of sustained growth. We use a micro-founded macroeconomic model calibrated to Greece. Our simulations show that the adopted adjustment program (namely, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012195896

Partisan fiscal policy : evidence from Central and Eastern Europe

Schneider, Ondřej - 2019

This paper examines effects of political ideology of a governing party on fiscal outcomes, using data from eight Central and Eastern European countries in the 2001-2017 period. The analysis shows that there is a statistically significant effect of conservative governments on fiscal variables,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157827

Understanding the emergence of public debt

Fochmann, Martin; Sadrieh, Abdolkarim; Weimann, Joachim - 2014

We use a controlled laboratory experiment with and without overlapping generations to study the emergence of public debt. Public debt is chosen by popular vote, pays for public goods, and is repaid with general taxes. With a single generation, public debt is accumulated prudently, never leading...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010358972

Fiscal transfers and fiscal sustainability

Potrafke, Niklas; Reischmann, Markus Josef - 2014

We examine whether US and German state governments pursue sustainable fiscal policies taking into account fiscal transfers. Using panel data techniques we investigate whether the debt-to-GDP ratio had a positive influence on the primary surplus (Bohn-model). We show that including/excluding...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260027

Fiscal sustainability of the German Laender : time series evidence

Burret, Heiko T.; Feld, Lars P.; Köhler, Ekkehard A. - 2014

In this paper we analyze the sustainability of public finances in the states (Laender) of the Federal Republic of Germany using an unprecedentedly comprehensive fiscal dataset for the time period from 1950 to 2011 for West German Laender and 1991 to 2011 for East German Laender, respectively. In...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388609

Fiscal-financial vulnerabilities

Schuknecht, Ludger - 2019

The paper analyses the linkages from financial developments to public finances. It maps and discusses the transmission channels to fiscal variables. These channels include asset prices, financing conditions, balance sheets of banks, non-banks and central banks and international linkages. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012050685

Fiscal sustainability and low interest rates : a note

Werding, Martin - 2021

In this paper, I demonstrate that an indicator which is commonly used to assess the long-term fiscal sustainability of public finances in EU member states (“S2”) is also defined if government borrowing rates are assumed to be permanently lower than the growth rate of GDP. I illustrate this...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421177

Fiscal sustainability, fiscal reactions, pitfalls and determinants

Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022

We examine the sustainability of public finances and its determinants for 19 Eurozone countries from 1995 to 2020. We conclude for the existence of panel cointegration between government revenues and expenditures; primary government balance and one-period lagged public debt-to-GDP ratio; and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162289

Public finances solvency in the Euro Area : true or false?

Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022

We assess public finances solvency for Euro Area countries using quarterly data between 1999Q1 and 2020Q4. Through a country-by-country analysis, the answer to the title question is true. For most countries, (i) the primary budget balance reacts positively to the lagged public debt ratio and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013365375