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Monetary policy surprises and exchange rate behavior

Gürkaynak, Refet S.; Kara, Ali Hakan; Kısacıkoğlu, … - 2020

Central banks unexpectedly tightening policy rates often observe the exchange value of their currency depreciate, rather than appreciate as predicted by standard models. We document this for Fed and ECB policy days using eventstudies and ask whether an information effect, where the public...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012287994

Macroeconomic policy and development in India : some analytical issues

Sen, Partha - 2022

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013473920

Exchange rate and inflation under weak monetary policy : turkey verifies theory

Gürkaynak, Refet S.; Kısacıkoğlu, Burçin; Lee, … - 2022

For the academic audience, this paper presents the outcome of a well-identified, large change in the monetary policy rule from the lens of a standard New Keynesian model and asks whether the model properly captures the effects. For policymakers, it presents a cautionary tale of the dismal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201664

The impact of macro news and central bank communication on emerging European forex markets

Égert, Balázs; Kočenda, Evžen - 2013

We employ two-stage empirical strategy to analyze the impact of macroeconomic news and central bank communication on the exchange rates of three Central and Eastern European (CEE) currencies against the euro. First we estimate the nominal equilibrium exchange rate based on a monetary model....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764449

An equilibrium theory of nominal exchange rates

Hagedorn, Marcus - 2021

This paper proposes an equilibrium theory of nominal exchange rates, which offers a new perspective on various issues … features of this theory are that the nominal exchange rate is determined in international financial markets, that the risk … from the nominal exchange rate. In terms of policy, this novel theory implies that a country with an exchange rate peg and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012619299

Financial globalization and bank lending : the limits of domestic monetary policy?

Cao, Jin; Dinger, Valeriya - 2018

We empirically analyze how bank lending reacts to monetary policy in the presence of global financial flows. Employing a unique and novel dataset of the funding modes and currency composition of the full population of Norwegian banks in structurally identified regressions, we show that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011795013

China's exchange rate and financial repression : the conflicted emergence of the renminbi as an international currency

McKinnon, Ronald I.; Schnabl, Gunther - 2014

China has been provoked into speeding renminbi internationalization. But despite rapid growth in offshore financial markets in RMB, the Chinese authorities are essentially trapped into maintaining exchange controls-reinforced by financial repression in domestic interest rates→to avoid an...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249643

Bank of England interest rate announcements and the foreign exchange market

Melvin, Michael; Saborowski, Christian; Sager, Michael; … - 2009

Since 1997, the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has met monthly to set the UK policy interest rate. We examine evidence of systematic patterns in exchange rate movements on MPC days over the first decade of operation of the MPC. Daily data reveal significant differences in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831967

A role model for China? : exchange rate flexibility and monetary policy in Japan

Schnabl, Gunther (contributor); Danne, Christian (contributor) - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003499570

China's exchange rate impasse and the weak U.S. dollar

McKinnon, Ronald I. (contributor); … - 2008

Since 2004, China has been backed into a situation where the renminbi is expected to go ever higher against the dollar, and this one-way bet has led to a loss of domestic monetary control. Combined with a more general flight from the U.S. dollar, the resulting monetary explosion in China...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749649