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pensions and on a particular type of unfunded (PAYG) pension. Surprisingly little is known about the optimal split between … state the importance of PAYG pensions differs. We estimate how the optimal level of unfunded, state pensions depends on rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781509
Prefunding of pension commitments in OECD economies is increasingly seen as a central strategy to cope with the aging of their populations. This paper argues that investments in emerging markets can help at the margin but are unable to solve the demographic problem. While these investments bring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781581
importance of unfunded, state pensions differs. We estimate how the optimal level of unfunded, state pensions depends on rate of … is rapid and unfunded pensions are currently generous. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398101
This paper investigates the impact of abnormal returns on stock prices by using daily and hourly data for some …-tests, CAR and trading simulation methods are used to test the following hypotheses: H1) abnormal returns can be detected before … the end of the day; H2) there are price effects on the day after abnormal returns occur; H3) these effects are different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012390869
beliefs about stock market returns and exhibit desirable external validity: they predict real-life stock market participation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298558
We revisit the puzzle of limited stock market participation using qualitative methods common in other social sciences but rare in economics. Through in-depth interviews with investors and non-investors in Germany—a high-income country with low market participation—we elicit open-ended...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015426928
We examine 22 determinants of stock market correlations in a panel setting with 651 country pairs of developed economies over the 2001-2018 period, while accounting for model uncertainty and reverse causality. On the one hand, we find, that a number of determinants, well established in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013380503
stock market returns. This paper analyses it using US monthly data over the period 2000:1-2015:08. A VAR-GARCH(1,1)-in … causality-in-mean from stock market returns to equity fund flows (consistently with the feedback-trading hypothesis) only in the … post-September 2008 period. There are also volatility spillovers from stock market returns to equity fund flows both before …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482859
The eurozone has a single short-term nominal interest rate, but monetary policy conditions measured by real short-term interest rates varied substantially across countries in the period 2003 - 2010. We use this cross-country variation in the (local) tightness of monetary policy to examine its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010413745
In this study, we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of several modern Value-at- Risk (VaR) estimators derived from extreme value theory (EVT). Specifically, in a multi-asset study covering 30 years of stock, bond, commodity and currency market data, we analyse the accuracy of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011587888