This paper analyses the direct and indirect trade volume and trade cost effects of uncertainty on international trade … to 2018. Our results suggest that an increase in unilateral uncertainty affects average trade costs in a heterogeneous … manner, depending on whether the uncertainty originates from the importing or exporting country. Moreover, using a cross …

This paper investigates the effects of uncertainty on the macro economy by replicating its micro effects on individual … the two scenarios through the empirical macroeconomic uncertainty index. The higher the macroeconomic uncertainty is, the … appropriate level of ambiguity aversion outperforms the benchmark model with no uncertainty in fitting the US output growth rate …

This paper analyses the formation of international environmental agreements (IEAs) under uncertainty, focusing on the … of IEA formation when countries are risk neutral and another that explores the implications of uncertainty and risk …

prices versus tradable quantities in terms of expected welfare, given uncertainty, optimal policy and endogenous cost …

uncertainty on firms' decisions and market outcomes. We construct alternative measures of uncertainty based on survey of … index, and fuel prices. Our results indicate that greater uncertainty has a negative impact on growth of employment and the … generally non-existent or weaker. Our results suggest that to truly understand the effects of uncertainty on firms' decisions …

some recipients are exposed to uncertainty. Although, under certainty almost all uninvolved participants distribute … resources equally, they exhibit remarkable heterogeneity in just allocations under uncertainty. Moreover, uninvolved … participants allocate on average less to recipients exposed to higher degrees of uncertainty and allocations are correlated with …

scientific uncertainty about the effects of increased greenhouse gas concentrations on climate. Criticisms of this controversial …

The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about … technology. We directly measure uncertainty from aggregate time series and find considerable evidence of time-varying policy risk …