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(Almost) recursive identification of monetary policy shocks with economic parameter restrictions

Burgard, Jan Pablo; Neuenkirch, Matthias; Umlandt, Dennis - 2023

restriction that economic theory is not violated, while the shocks are still recursively identified. We solve this optimization … "almost recursively identified approach with parameter restrictions" leads to a solution that avoids an estimation bias …, generates theory-consistent impulse responses, and is as close as possible to the recursive scheme. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013494039

The interest rate pass-through in the Euro area during the global financial crisis : conference paper

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2013

This paper uses panel vector autoregressive models and simulations of an estimated DSGE model to explore the reaction …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338974

The transmission of German monetary policy in the pre-Euro period

Lütkepohl, Helmut; Wolters, Jürgen - 2001

A small macroeconomic model is constructed to study the transmission of the monetary policy conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank (DBB) since the middle of the 1970s. For this purpose quarterly, seasonally unadjusted data for the period from 1975 to 1998 are used, that is, the period until the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400913

Uncertainty-dependent effects of monetary policy shocks : a new Keynesian interpretation

Castelnuovo, Efrem; Pellegrino, Giovanni - 2017

We estimate a nonlinear VAR model to study the real effects of monetary policy shocks in regimes characterized by high vs. low macroeconomic uncertainty. We find unexpected monetary policy moves to exert a substantially milder impact in presence of high uncertainty. We then exploit the set of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781355

How banks respond to negative interest rates : evidence from the Swiss exemption threshold

Basten, Christoph; Mariathasan, Mike - 2018

We analyze the effect of negative monetary policy rates on banks, using detailed supervisory information from Switzerland. For identification, we compare changes in the behavior of banks that had different fractions of their central bank reserves exempt from negative rates. More affected banks...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011795014

A reassessment of monetary policy surprises and high-frequency identification

Bauer, Michael D.; Swanson, Eric T. - 2022

High-frequency changes in interest rates around FOMC announcements are an important tool for identifying the effects of monetary policy on asset prices and the macroeconomy. However, some recent studies have questioned both the exogeneity and the relevance of these monetary policy surprises as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166391

Gasoline price expectations as a transmission channel for gasoline price shocks

Anderl, Christina; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2025

This paper uses data on 5-year gasoline price expectations from the US Michigan Survey of Consumers to investigate their role as a transmission channel for gasoline price shocks. Specifically, a Structural VAR model is estimated to carry out counterfactual analysis which shows that gasoline...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015409524

Shadow banks and the risk-taking channel of monetary policy transmission in the Euro Area

Wischnewsky, Arina; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2018 - First Draft: June 11, 2018

In this paper, we provide evidence for a risk-taking channel of monetary policy transmission in the euro area that works through an increase in shadow banks' total asset growth and their risk assets ratio. Our dataset covers the period 2003Q1 - 2017Q3 and includes, in addition to the standard...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864635

The risk-taking channel of monetary policy transmission in the euro area

Neuenkirch, Matthias; Nöckel, Matthias - 2018

In this paper, we provide evidence for a risk-taking channel of monetary policy transmission in the euro area that works through the relaxation of lending standards for borrowers. Our dataset covers the period 2003Q1-2016Q2 and includes, in addition to the standard variables for real GDP growth,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011822614

State-dependent transmission of monetary policy in the euro area

Burgard, Jan Pablo; Neuenkirch, Matthias; Nöckel, Matthias - 2018 - First Draft: December 21, 2016

In this paper, we estimate a logit mixture vector autoregressive (Logit-MVAR) model describing monetary policy transmission in the euro area over the period 1999-2015. MVARs allow us to differentiate between different states of the economy. In our model, the time-varying state weights are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011859492