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country in the world along the economic, social and political dimension. The original index was introduced by Dreher (2006 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011954444
A central issue in the study of sustainable development is the interplay of growth and sacrifice in a dynamic economy. This paper investigates the relationship among current consumption, sacrifice, and sustainability improvement in a general context and in two canonical, stylized economies. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009766680
The availability of copious amounts of data produced by the increasing datification of our society is nowadays deemed an opportunity to produce timely and convenient statistical information. This paper shows the building of economic sentiment indexes from the texts of the most read economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013453734
We formulate a simple theoretical model of a banking industry that we use to identify and construct theory-based measures of systemic bank shocks (SBS). These measures differ from "banking crisis" (BC) indicators employed in many empirical studies, which are constructed using primarily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003994497
We introduce a new "supply-push" instrument for foreign aid, to be used together with an instrumental variable estimator that filters out unobserved common factors. We use this instrument to study the effects of aid on macroeconomic ratios, and especially the ratios of consumption, investment,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417985
It is widely understood that the real price of globally traded commodities is determined by the forces of demand and supply. One of the main determinants of the real price of commodities is shifts in the demand for commodities associated with unexpected fluctuations in global real economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754229
Economists around the world rely in addition to official statistics on business (and consumer) surveys, which are more … partly, be filled by the Ifo World Economic Survey (WES). In this paper we first describe this survey and also examine how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011547810
, we use a free and instantaneous available source of leading indicators, the ifo World Economic Survey (WES), to forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026466
examine this prediction using a new measure of economic uncertainty, the World Uncertainty Index and focus on data from 126 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508583
nowcasting and forecasting quarterly world GDP using mixed-frequency models. We find that a recently proposed indicator that … use this indicator to track the evolution of the nowcasts for the US, the OECD area, and the world economy during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306598