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The empirical literature of stock market predictability mainly suffers from model uncertainty and parameter instability. To meet this challenge, we propose a novel approach that combines the documented merits of diffusion indices, regime-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416151
return correlations using weekly returns on futures markets and investigate the extent to which multivariate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868
post-September 2008 period. There are also volatility spillovers from stock market returns to equity fund flows both before …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482859
A growing literature uses changes in residual volatility for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive … in applications in this context. This study reviews the different volatility models and points out their advantages and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509631
We employ a wavelet approach and conduct a time-frequency analysis of dynamic correlations between pairs of key traded assets (gold, oil, and stocks) covering the period from 1987 to 2012. The analysis is performed on both intra-day and daily data. We show that heterogeneity in correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515402
implications for exchange rates, volatility, returns to currency investing, and transaction costs. This blow-by-blowʺ narrative is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861767
is correlated across countries with lower average stock market volatility, crises are more frequent in countries with … investment fall by more in countries with poor creditor protection. -- liquidity crisis ; creditor protection ; stock volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009514779
Data show that better creditor protection is correlated across countries with lower average stock market volatility … protection. -- liquidity crisis, creditor protection, stock volatility, credit crunch …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009124145
volatility spillovers during global financial crisis and tranquil periods. The resulting market interconnectedness is depicted by … between markets and somewhat weaker temporal effects with regard to the US equity market - volatility spillovers decrease when … markets are characterized by greater temporal proximity. Volatility spillovers also present a high degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654569
This study examines the impact of investors' buy and sell trades on Korean stock market volatility across two crisis … on volatility that depends on the type of investor trading and on the phase of the business cycle. Buy orders appear to … be more informative than sell orders since they mostly lower volatility in the pre-crisis periods, while sell and post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138660