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We examine the impact of the last five decades of financial globalization on world GDP and income distribution, using a … pattern Unbalanced Financial Globalization. We then simulate a counterfactual trajectory of the world economy where the RKO … wedges are fixed at their pre-globalization levels. We find that unbalanced financial globalization led to a worsening of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014340224
This paper critically reviews the theoretical basis for the provision of the global financial safety net (GFSN) and provide a comprehensive database covering four elements of the GFSN (foreign exchange reserves, IMF financing, central bank swap lines and regional financing arrangements) for over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011565481
I propose a model of the reserve currency paradigm that centers on liquidity demand for safe assets. In global recessions, the demand for U.S. safe assets increases and raises their convenience yields, giving rise to stronger dollar and countercyclical seigniorage revenues. The seigniorage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015048365
This paper investigates the effects of equity and bond portfolio in.ows on exchange rate volatility, using monthly bilateral data for the US vis-a-vis eight Asian developing and emerging countries (India, Indonesia, South Korea, Pakistan, Hong Kong, Thailand, the Philippines, and Taiwan) over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387464
This paper investigates the cyclicality of international reserves and their role in macroeconomic stabilization. We challenge two widely held assumptions: (1) central banks typically manage IR counter-cyclically—accumulating reserves during booms and drawing them down during downturns; and (2)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015371901
China has been provoked into speeding renminbi internationalization. But despite rapid growth in offshore financial markets in RMB, the Chinese authorities are essentially trapped into maintaining exchange controls-reinforced by financial repression in domestic interest rates→to avoid an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249643
Swap lines between advanced-economy central banks are a new important part of the global financial architecture. This paper analyses their monetary policy effects from three perspectives. First, from the perspective of the central banks, it shows that the swap line mimics discount-window credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867130
The paper argues that persistent current account surpluses and increasing foreign currency-denominated asset positions constitute long-term appreciation expectations on yuan and yen, which have made China and Japan vulnerable to U.S. interest rate cuts and appreciation expectation shocks. For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475972
benchmark calibration, we estimate that the capital misallocation induced by these barriers reduces World GDP by 7%, compared to …-country inequality: the standard deviation of log capital per employee is 80% higher than it would be in a world without barriers to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514947
Central banks unexpectedly tightening policy rates often observe the exchange value of their currency depreciate, rather than appreciate as predicted by standard models. We document this for Fed and ECB policy days using eventstudies and ask whether an information effect, where the public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012287994