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Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
in specific correlation dynamics. A strong implication emerges: during the period under research, and from a different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515402
This paper estimates a bivariate HEAVY system including daily and intra-daily volatility equations and its macro …-augmented asymmetric power extension. It focuses on economic factors that exacerbate stock market volatility and represent major threats to … financial stability. In particular, it extends the HEAVY framework with powers, leverage, and macro effects that improve its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158736
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641741
describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns … ; volatility ; stock market ; transition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003942099
Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) volatility model. The optimization was performed by employing a Nondominated Sorting … in both low and high volatility samples. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011420698
This paper suggests how to quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers that emerge due to bad and good volatility … stocks at the disaggregate level. Moreover, the spillovers of bad and good volatility are transmitted at different magnitudes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509638
The empirical literature of stock market predictability mainly suffers from model uncertainty and parameter instability. To meet this challenge, we propose a novel approach that combines the documented merits of diffusion indices, regime-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416151
We analyze the worst currency carry loss episodes in recent decades, including causes, attribution by currency, timing, and the duration of carry drawdowns. To explore the determinants of the length of carry losses, a model of carry drawdown duration is estimated. We find evidence that drawdown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568722
relatively low market volatility may have unintended consequences for banks' risk exposure. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011587953