Showing 1 - 10 of 4,056
We develop a non-linear forecast combination rule based on copulas that incorporate the dynamic interaction between individual predictors. This approach is optimal in the sense that the resulting combined forecast produces the highest discriminatory power as measured by the receiver operating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010475341
We derive the optimal exchange rate policy for a small open economy subject to terms-oftrade shocks. Firm owners and workers are risk averse but workers more so. Wages are given or partially indexed in the short run, and capital markets are imperfect. The government sets the exchange rate to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002524066
different institutional arrangements, through the initial allocation of permits. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003109979
capital allocation, a 2.8% lower world GDP, a 12% rise in the cross-country dispersion of GDP per capita, lower wages in … opposite effects: significant improvements in capital allocation efficiency and lower cross-country inequality, higher wages in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014340224
We study the stability of voluntary cooperation in response to varying rates at which a group grows. Using a laboratory public-good game with voluntary contributions and economies of scale, we construct a situation in which expanding a group's size yields potential efficiency gains, but only if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260008
based allocation (Australia, California, New Zealand) and capacity based allocation (EU). This paper characterizes the best … output and capacity based allocation is proved to be the optimal second best policy. The EU scheme for 2013-2020 is discussed …, using cement as a case study. -- cap and trade ; output based allocation ; subsidization of capacity ; climate policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009687241
We examine the impact of uncertainty on employment dynamics. Alternative measures of uncertainty are constructed based on the survey of professional forecasters, and regression-based forecasting models for GDP growth, inflation, S&P500 stock price index, and fuel prices. Our results indicate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010428759
We extend the standard public good provision model to allow players to either like or dislike the public characteristic. Those who dislike it are able to take actions to reduce its level. We present conditions under which the existence of a unique noncooperative equilibrium is retained, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009571064
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003623962
Diversified firms often trade at a discount with respect to their focused counterparts. The literature has tried to explain the apparent misallocation of resources with lobbying activities or power struggles. We show that diversification can destroy value even when resources are efficiently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410226