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total factor productivity which determines economic activity in the long run, but is not contemporaneously observed by … assessment of productivity - from actual time series, we rely on an informational advantage over market participants … line with theory, induce a negative nowcast error but raise economic activity in the short run. They account for up to 30 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010224834
Despite massive digitization efforts, the German economy has experienced a marked slowdown in its productivity growth … that commenced around 2005. The successful integration of five million predominantly low-productivity workers into the … labor market induced an attenuating effect on productivity growth. This does not explain the slowdown entirely, however. As …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900858
A growing recent literature relies on a precautionary pricing motive embedded in representative agent DSGE models with sticky prices and wages to generate negative output effects of uncertainty shocks. We assess whether this theoretical model channel is consistent with the data. Building a New...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597159
We revisit UK's poor productivity performance since the Great Recession by means of both a suitable theoretical … over time, and distinguish between quantity total factor productivity (TFP-Q), i.e., the capacity to turn inputs into more … physical output (number of shirts, liters of beer), and what we call revenue total factor productivity (TFP-R), i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012387534
their productivity and net worth and face collateral constraints that cause capital misallocation. TFP endogenously depends … equilibrium, general-equilibrium effects overturn this result: a monetary expansion increases the investment of high-productivity … firms relatively more than that of low-productivity ones, crowding out the latter and increasing TFP. We provide empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697125
identification procedure, we show that the dominant shock driving total factor productivity (TFP) is akin to a diffusion or news … shock and that shock transmission has changed over time. Specifically, the behavior of hours worked is notably different … shock propagation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015075006
Using a two-sector estimated DSGE model with a financial channel we show the sector where TFP news arrives matters for its propagation and quantitative importance. Anticipated increases in TFP expected to arrive in the consumption sector are expansionary while those in the investment sector are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009753003
investigate different identification schemes for bi-variate systems comprising U.S. stock prices and total factor productivity …. The former variable is viewed as reflecting expectations of economic agents about future productivity. It is found that … used for total factor productivity. -- Cointegration ; Markov regime switching model ; vector error correction model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003751230
Concave hiring rules imply that firms respond more to bad shocks than to good shocks. They provide a unified explanation for several seemingly unrelated facts about employment growth in macro and micro data. In particular, they generate countercyclical movement in both aggregate conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637667
We develop a stylized DSGE model in which banks face capital regulation and their loan portfolios are subject to non-diversifiable losses due to aggregate shocks. The framework is used to explore the importance of the interaction between macroeconomic conditions, credit default and bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557772