Showing 1 - 10 of 1,631
This paper provides an explanation for the observed decline of the exchange rate pass-through into import prices by modeling the effects of financial market integration on the optimal choice of the pricing currency in the context of rigid nominal goods prices. Contrary to previous literature, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654742
benchmark calibration, we estimate that the capital misallocation induced by these barriers reduces World GDP by 7%, compared to …-country inequality: the standard deviation of log capital per employee is 80% higher than it would be in a world without barriers to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514947
This paper analyses the short- and long-term effects of geopolitical uncertainty on cross-border portfolio flows between the US and 41 developed and emerging economies over the period January 1992-November 2022. We find that geopolitical uncertainty decreases equity inflows from other countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015065292
We examine the impact of the last five decades of financial globalization on world GDP and income distribution, using a … pattern Unbalanced Financial Globalization. We then simulate a counterfactual trajectory of the world economy where the RKO … capital allocation, a 2.8% lower world GDP, a 12% rise in the cross-country dispersion of GDP per capita, lower wages in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014340224
This paper examines the impact of exchange rate uncertainty on different components of portfolio flows, namely equity and bond flows, as well as the dynamic linkages between exchange rate volatility and the variability of these two types of flows. Specifically, a bivariate GARCH-BEKK-in-mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743845
the well established link between asset returns and the cyclical correlation between countries in standard CCAPM models …, our model links asset flows to the cyclical correlation. In particular, the model predicts that a country that has a low … correlation with the global cycle should see net capital inflows. We provide strong empirical evidence in support of this link and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119780
Prefunding of pension commitments in OECD economies is increasingly seen as a central strategy to cope with the aging of their populations. This paper argues that investments in emerging markets can help at the margin but are unable to solve the demographic problem. While these investments bring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781581
We add to the literature on the influence of the global financial cycle (GFC) and gyrations in capital flows. First, we build a new measure of the GFC based on a structural factor approach, which incorporates theoretical priors in its definition. This measure can also be decomposed in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012129742
We investigate empirically how industrialized countries and U.S. states share consumption risk at horizons between one and thirty years. U.S. federal states share about 50 percent of their permanent idiosyncratic risk through cross-state capital income flows. While insurance against transitory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011404294
This paper investigates the dynamic linkages between portfolio flows and various news indices (based on both "positive" and "negative" news headlines collected from Bloomberg), whilst also controlling for a comprehensive set of push and pull factors. The monthly panel examined comprises 49...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012171852