Showing 1 - 10 of 259
the most useful indicators that has been proposed in the literature. However, by combining measures from a number of … different sources we can do even better. Our analysis results in a new index of global economic conditions and new measures for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213172
information is defended, Bayesian posterior probabilities can be used to form an inference that incorporates doubts about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011847554
This paper presents a framework for empirical analysis of dynamic macroeconomic models using Bayesian filtering, with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014470409
A growing literature uses changes in residual volatility for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis. A number of different models for heteroskedasticity or conditional heteroskedasticity are proposed and used in applications in this context. This study reviews the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509631
We conduct an interdisciplinary meta-analysis to aggregate the knowledge from empirical estimates of inequality aversion reported from 1999 to 2022. In particular, we examine 85 estimates of disadvantageous inequality aversion (or envy) and advantageous inequality aversion (or guilt) from 26...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285841
; macroeconomics and financial factors ; Bayesian estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937808
economy using Bayesian methods. We find that the model captures the key dynamics of the period surprisingly well. Importantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009489289
This paper investigates the robustness of determinants of economic growth in the presence of model uncertainty, parameter heterogeneity and outliers. The robust model averaging approach introduced in the paper uses a flexible and parsimonious mixture modeling that allows for fat-tailed errors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009010519
Recent articles suggest that a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) with shrinkage is a good forecast device even when … accuracy for euro area real GDP growth and HICP inflation. We consider BVAR averaging, Bayesian factor augmented VARs (BFAVARs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257225
and economic growth, this paper revisits the question using a Bayesian Model Averaging approach. The analysis suggests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786223