Showing 1 - 10 of 735
making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … return correlations using weekly returns on futures markets and investigate the extent to which multivariate volatility … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868
has roots in fundamentals. Higher market risk predicts greater idiosyncratic earnings volatility as well as dispersion and …From 1963 through 2015, idiosyncratic risk (IR) is high when market risk (MR) is high. We show that the positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674278
Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key … macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the … estimating risk premia and highlights the proliferation of risk pricing factors that result in a wide range of different asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
. Uncertainty, in contrast, increases the response. We rationalize our findings in a model of imperfect information. In the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
exposure to macroeconomic risk, consistent with sticky information models in which people are inattentive, but understand how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877783
This article deals with the integration of taxes into real option-based investment models under risk neutrality and … risk averison. It compares the possible approaches dynamic programming and contingent claims analysis to analyze their …, dynamic programming and contingent claims analysis yield identical investment thresholds under risk neutrality. In contrast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409752
exert a large and persistent effect on the volatility of stock returns of acquirers and that this response is crucially … - engender a positive response in acquirers' volatility. Our results suggest that acquisitions affect uncertainty because they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158166
We study business uncertainty in high- versus low-volatility environments by surveying over 31,000 managers across 41 … their mean absolute deviations. Analogously, we measure realized volatility using absolute forecast errors. We establish two … new facts. (1) Subjective uncertainty and realized volatility both decline with GDP per capita. (2) Managers underestimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015071152
This paper proposes an explanation of the shifts in the volatility of exchange rate returns that relies on standard … may lead agents to focus excessively on a subset of fundamental variables. As a result, exchange rate volatility is mainly … determined by the dynamics of this subset of fundamentals. As agents switch between models the nominal exchange rate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937806
are based on oil price information. For this purpose, a real options model on the oil field development decision is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786017