The paper studies the interaction between cyclical uncertainty and investment in a stochastic real option framework … of the link between cyclical uncertainty and investment is quantified using simulations of the model. The chief … shows that macroeconomic risk acts as an important deterrent to investments. -- business cycles ; real options ; investment …

inventories react strongly and positively to news about future increases in total factor productivity. Theory suggests that the …

shock. Our estimated model uncovers a central role for investment in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy, as high … MPCs amplify the investment response in the data. This force also generates a procyclical response of consumption to … investment shocks, leading our model to infer a central role for these shocks as a source of business cycles. …

We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …

-varying uncertainty, highlighted in the literature. -- Ss model ; RBC model ; lumpy investment ; countercyclical risk ; aggregate shocks …

-level investment is procyclical. We show that a heterogeneous-firm RBC model with quantitatively realistic countercyclically disperse … state investment rate distribution, produces investment dispersion that positively comoves with the cycle, with a …-sectional firm dynamics ; lumpy investment ; countercyclical risk ; aggregate shocks ; idiosyncratic shocks ; heterogeneous firms …

volatility generates investment and growth opportunities in poor countries. But high uncertainty and low overprecision slow …

, resulted in lower investment, employment, and bank debt for younger and smaller firms. Importantly, these effects dominate … those of banks' balance-sheet variables. We also show that higher CDS spreads led to lower aggregate investment, employment …