Showing 1 - 10 of 4,315
We investigate financial experts’ beliefs about climate risk pricing and analyze how those beliefs influence stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551420
In this study, we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of several modern Value-at- Risk (VaR) estimators … derived from extreme value theory (EVT). Specifically, in a multi-asset study covering 30 years of stock, bond, commodity and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011587888
uninsured capital income risk, and suffer from an information-processing capacity constraint. For given attention devoted to … capital income risk, we solve for the optimal consumption-saving choices and show that the expected welfare is increasing with … capacity, assuming a relative risk aversion degree larger than unity. Furthermore, we solve for attention choice and find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011951668
A large literature suggests that the expected equity risk premium is countercyclical. Using a variety of different … measures for this risk premium, we document that it also exhibits growth asymmetry, i.e. the risk premium rises sharply in … which agents cannot perfectly observe the state of current productivity, can generate the observed asymmetry in the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012129784
Despite decades of global attention, effective climate policy implementation remains challenging, with firms and investors often grappling with uncertainty about potential policymaking in addition to actual policy changes. This paper introduces a novel Climate Policy Uncertainty (CPU) index,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015359048
We investigate the trade-off between the risk-sharing gains enjoyed by more interconnected firms and the costs … resulting from an increased risk exposure. We find that when the shock distribution displays "fat" tails, extreme segmentation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260030
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana, Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez and Martín Uribe (2011) find that risk … rate risk shock increases by 63 percent and the contribution of interest rate risk shocks to business cycle volatility more … than doubles. Hence, risk matters more in the recalibrated model. However, the recalibrated model does worse in capturing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354846
of optimal risk-sharing in mortgage contracts. But since only a small literature has studied this question, more research … termination via prepayment or default affects optimal risk-sharing. The broad conclusion of the analysis is that potential … mortgage termination makes higher risk exposure for borrowers optimal. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412302
the period 1972:1-2014:12 to forecasts our tail risk indicators with each model in pseudo-real time. Our key finding is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498601
degree of pessimism of the representative agent is the mean of the individual ones weighted by their index of absolute risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507677