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Over the last decade foreign bond portfolio positions in US dollar assets have risen above the reciprocal US investor positions in foreign currencies. In periods of increased economic uncertainty, institutional investors hedge their international bond positions, which creates a net hedging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013440410
This paper studies dynamics of endogenous business cycles and exchange rate volatility in a small open economy. Without … exhibit a higher volatility than other prices. The numerical analysis shows examples which confirm the typical empirically … observed high volatility of nominal exchange rates compared with that of real/domestic variables. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538984
Poland is obligated to adopt the euro after the fulfilment, inter alia, of the exchange rate criterion which requires entering the Exchange Rate Mechanism II (ERM II). The European Central Bank recommends that the ERM II central rate should reflect the best possible assessment of the equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003813605
In this paper we have applied two approaches to the study of the dollar real exchange rate in relation with the Euro-area currencies. First, using dynamic panel techniques, we estimate an error correction model for the dollar real exchange rate versus seven developed countries, four of them...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538958
news and communication along with the estimated exchange rate misalignment on exchange rate as well as its volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764449
This paper investigates the PPP and UIP conditions by taking into account possible nonlinearities as well as the role of Taylor rule deviations under alternative monetary policy frameworks. The analysis is conducted using monthly data from January 1993 to December 2020 for five...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012491545
A modified dynamic model averaging framework, which allows for inferences regarding the shifting relevance and significance of explanatory variables, is employed to evaluate the in-sample performance of exchange rate models. This analysis is based on a set of 16,384 model specifications derived...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015396820
. -- high frequency data ; long memory ; volatility persistence ; structural breaks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736739
This paper proposes an explanation of the shifts in the volatility of exchange rate returns that relies on standard … may lead agents to focus excessively on a subset of fundamental variables. As a result, exchange rate volatility is mainly … determined by the dynamics of this subset of fundamentals. As agents switch between models the nominal exchange rate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937806
. Daily data reveal significant differences in volatility on the last of three meeting days when the interest rate … macroeconomic news effects on the foreign exchange market. We find evidence for non-linear regime switching between a high-volatility …, informed-trading state and a low-volatility, liquidity-trading state. MPC surprise announcements are shown significantly to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831967