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We construct a model of bubbles where an asset can be used as collateral primarily due to higher-order uncertainty … fool” exists who will purchase it at a much higher price. We show that such bubbles can lead to inefficient overinvestment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015404489
conditions, there can be rational bubbles. Hence, we provide a microfoundation for bubbles that relies on a frictionless infinite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872947
The empirical literature of stock market predictability mainly suffers from model uncertainty and parameter instability. To meet this challenge, we propose a novel approach that combines the documented merits of diffusion indices, regime-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416151
Bubbles are omnipresent in lab experiments with asset markets. Most of these experiments were conducted in environments … smaller bubbles if human traders expect algorithmic traders to be present. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392621
Using a battery of timely multivariate time series techniques I study the Bitcoin cryptocurrency price series and web search queries with regard to their mutual predictability, Granger-causality and cause-effect delay structure. The Bitcoin is at first treated as a general currency, then as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026340
Employing representative data from the U.S. Survey of Consumer Payment Choice, we disprove the hypothesis that cryptocurrency investors are motivated by distrust in fiat currencies or regulated finance. Compared with the general population, investors show no differences in their level of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012619271
derived from extreme value theory (EVT). Specifically, in a multi-asset study covering 30 years of stock, bond, commodity and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011587888
One possible determinant of overpricing on asset markets is a lack of self-control abilities of traders. Self-control is the individual capacity to override or inhibit undesired behavioral tendencies such as impulses and to refrain from acting on them. We implement the first experiment that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444434
This paper explores the frequency of price overreactions in the US stock market by focusing on the Dow Jones Industrial Index over the period 1990-2017. It uses two different methods (static and dynamic) to detect overreactions and then carries out various statistical tests (both parametric and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011844559
We develop a model of rational bubbles based on leverage and the assumption of an imprecisely known maximum market size … lend to traders with limited liability in a bubble is endogenous. Bubbles reduce welfare of future investors. We provide … general conditions for the possibility of bubbles depending on uncertainty about market size, traders' degree of leverage and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780495