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Macroeconomic expectations and state-dependent factor returns

Haase, Felix; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2023

We examine the asymmetric impact of shocks to macroeconomic expectations and their underlying dispersion on equity risk … for the price of risk. We also document that the survey expectations-augmented specification reduces pricing and premium …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014388605

Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news

Born, Benjamin; Dovern, Jonas; Enders, Zeno - 2020

Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549

Tax havens, accounting experts, and fee-setting rules

Gresik, Thomas A.; Konrad, Kai A. - 2017

Tax havens differ in the specific tax planning arrangements multinational firms can use to reduce their tax liabilities. Given the complexity and cost associated with identifying the most effective tax haven to use, an accounting firm can act as an intermediary between tax havens and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761600

The effect of regulatory harmonization on cross-border labor migration : evidence from the accounting profession

Bloomfield, Matthew J.; Brüggemann, Ulf; Christensen, … - 2015

The paper examines whether international regulatory harmonization increases cross-border labor migration. To study this question, we analyze European Union (EU) initiatives that harmonized accounting and auditing standards. Regulatory harmonization should reduce economic mobility barriers,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405693

Monetary policy, model uncertainty and exchange rate volatility

Markiewicz, Agnieszka - 2010

This paper proposes an explanation of the shifts in the volatility of exchange rate returns that relies on standard present value exchange rate models. Agents are uncertain about the true data generating model and deal with the model uncertainty by making inference on the models and their...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937806

Cyclical income risk in Great Britain

Angelopulos, Kōnstantinos; Lazarakis, Spyridon; … - 2019

This paper establishes new evidence on the cyclical behaviour of household income risk in Great Britain and assesses … the role of social insurance policy in mitigating against this risk. We address these issues using the British Household …. We then estimate how income risk, measured by the variance and the skewness of the probability distribution of shocks to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996331

Asymmetries in earnings, employment and wage risk in Great Britain

Angelopulos, Kōnstantinos; Lazarakis, Spyridon; … - 2017

This paper examines the relationship between idiosyncratic risk in labour income and fluctuations in aggregate labour … BHPS sub-sample of Understanding Society for 2010-2014. We measure idiosyncratic risk in labour income by the relevant … idiosyncratic risk increases during contractions in the labour market. Furthermore, we find evidence of insurance, both at the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011624196

Brexit and uncertainty in financial markets

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Trani, … - 2018

This paper applies long-memory techniques (both parametric and semi-parametric) to examine whether Brexit has led to any significant changes in the degree of persistence of the FTSE 100 Implied Volatility Index (IVI) and of the British pound’s implied volatilities (IVs) vis-à-vis the main...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011793915

Yield curve and financial uncertainty : evidence based on US data

Castelnuovo, Efrem - 2019

How do short and long term interest rates respond to a jump in financial uncertainty? We address this question by conducting a local projections analysis with US monthly data, period: 1962-2018. The state-of-the-art financial uncertainty measure proposed by Ludvigson, Ma, and Ng (2019) is found...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029082

Forecast uncertainties in macroeconometric modelling : an application to the UK economy

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2000

This paper argues that probability forecasts convey information on the uncertainties that surround macroeconomic forecasts in a manner which is straightforward and which is preferable to other alternatives, including the use of confidence intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781626