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periods of heightened volatility. We also measure causality in volatilities extending well-known approaches analyzing … volatility transmission. We find significant cross-market relationships between U.S. and German stock and bond markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015197299
inventories react strongly and positively to news about future increases in total factor productivity. Theory suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119865
We employ a parsimonious nonlinear Interacted-VAR to examine whether the real effects of uncertainty shocks are greater when the economy is at the ZeroLower Bound. We find the contractionary effects of uncertainty shocks to be statistically larger when the ZLB is binding, with differences that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718014
financial volatility. Uncertainty shocks hitting in recessions are found to trigger a more abrupt drop and a faster recovery in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718461
an uncertainty shock. We find a significantly stronger response of real activity in recessions. Counterfactual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263375
The role of expectations for economic fluctuations has received considerable attention in recent business cycle analysis. We exploit Markov regime switching models to identify shocks in cointegrated structural vector autoregressions and investigate different identification schemes for bi-variate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003751230
any significant changes in the degree of persistence of the FTSE 100 Implied Volatility Index (IVI) and of the British …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011793915
This paper estimates a bivariate HEAVY system including daily and intra-daily volatility equations and its macro …-augmented asymmetric power extension. It focuses on economic factors that exacerbate stock market volatility and represent major threats to … commodity markets on stock market realized volatility. Specifically, Economic Policy Uncertainty is shown to be one of the main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158736
This paper uses fractional integration techniques to examine the stochastic behaviour of high and low stock prices in Europe and then to test for the possible existence of long-run linkages between them by looking at the range, i.e., the difference between the two logged series. Specifically,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022262
This paper examines the relationship between aggregate insider trading (AIT) and stock market volatility using monthly …-run increase in stock market volatility; this can be attributed to a combination of insiders manipulating the timing and content of …-regulated market, it is plausible that the main driver of the increase in stock market volatility should be the information effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014304456