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This paper investigates the effects of equity and bond portfolio in.ows on exchange rate volatility, using monthly … probability Markov-switching model. We find that net equity (bond) inflows drive the exchange rate to a high (low) volatility … state. In particular, net bond inflows increase the probability of remaining in the low volatility state in the case of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387464
/Dollar exchange rate return. In line with theory, the impact of spot market intervention is strikingly similar to that achieved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867236
Over the last decade foreign bond portfolio positions in US dollar assets have risen above the reciprocal US investor positions in foreign currencies. In periods of increased economic uncertainty, institutional investors hedge their international bond positions, which creates a net hedging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013440410
This paper studies dynamics of endogenous business cycles and exchange rate volatility in a small open economy. Without … exhibit a higher volatility than other prices. The numerical analysis shows examples which confirm the typical empirically … observed high volatility of nominal exchange rates compared with that of real/domestic variables. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538984
exert a volatility amplifying effect, depending on the currency of denomination and the cyclicality of the borrower … consumption volatility of low- and middle-income countries. On constructing the debt-weighted effective exchange rates, we examine …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012218984
smooth their domestic consumption; however, it can also amplify volatility in consumption, depending on the currency in which … external debt portfolios, exchange rate cyclicality, and volatility in consumption of low- and middle-income countries. Since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013445453
In this paper we investigate the effects of central bank interventions (CBI) in a noise trading model with chartists and fundamentalists. We first estimate a model in which chartists extrapolate past returns and fundamentalists forecast a mean reverting dynamics of the exchange rate towards a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003113337
also look at the impact of mistakes in exchange rate regime choice on actual (nominal) exchange rate volatility. Countries … higher exchange rate volatility than other countries having a fixed exchange rate regime. We also investigate the role of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781534
China has been provoked into speeding renminbi internationalization. But despite rapid growth in offshore financial markets in RMB, the Chinese authorities are essentially trapped into maintaining exchange controls-reinforced by financial repression in domestic interest rates→to avoid an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249643
We study the implication of a multipolarization of the international monetary system on cross-currency volatility. More …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009721995