Similar Search Results

Uncertainty, imperfect information, and expectation formation over the firm's life cycle

Chen, Cheng; Senga, Tatsuro; Sun, Chang; Zhang, Hongyong - 2020

Using a long-panel dataset of Japanese firms that contains firm-level sales forecasts, we provide evidence on firm-level uncertainty and imperfect information over their life cycle. We find that firms make non-negligible and positively correlated forecast errors. However, they make more precise...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258487

Assessing the efficiency of an insurance provider : a measurement error approach

Jametti, Mario; Ungern-Sternberg, Thomas von - 2003

The purpose of this paper is to compare the cost efficiency of private and public property insurance providers in Switzerland. The most commonly used measure for this kind of exercise is the Claims / Premium ratio. We argue that this measure may give strongly biased results. We develop a simple...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507834

Political leader survival : does competence matter?

Yu, Shu; Jong-A-Pin, Richard - 2013

We examine whether economic and military competence of political leaders affect their duration in office. We introduce … leader heterogeneity in the selectorate theory of Bueno de Mesquita et al. (2003) and derive the hypothesis that in the … presence of a revolutionary threat, economic competence is negatively related to political survival, but that the effect is …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010204673

Inflation and trading

Schnorpfeil, Philip; Weber, Michael; Hackethal, Andreas - 2024

We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of historically high inflation. Investors’ beliefs about the stock return-inflation relation are very heterogeneous in the cross section and on average too optimistic. Moreover,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015178423

Firm-specific productivity risk over the business cycle : facts and aggregate implications

Bachmann, Ruediger; Bayer, Christian - 2009

Is time-varying firm-level uncertainty a major cause or amplifier of the business cycle? This paper investigates this question in the context of a heterogeneous-firm RBC model with persistent firm-level productivity shocks and lumpy capital adjustment, where cyclical changes in uncertainty...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898815

A note on the computation of the equity premium and the market value of firm equity

Heer, Burkhard; Maußner, Alfred - 2010

Turnovsky (1995) derives in a continuous-time model of a decentralized economy that the correct specification of the firm's objective function is to maximize the initial value of its outstanding securities. The firm value is the discounted flow of real earnings. For the discrete-time version of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966553

Basel accord and financial intermediation : the impact of policy

Berka, Martin; Zimmermann, Christian - 2012

This paper studies loan activity in a context where banks must follow Basel Accord-type rules and acquire financing from households. Loan activity typically decreases when entrepreneurs' investment returns decline, and we study which type of policy could revigorate an economy in a trough. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488890

Exports, investment and firm-level sales volatility

Riaňo, Alejandro - 2011

This paper presents a dynamic model of risk-averse producers' decision to invest in physical capital and to export. The model features irreversible investment, no capital markets and fixed and sunk costs to export. Several features of the distribution of investment rates and export participation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009696

Using military build-ups to capture fiscal shocks : a reassessment

Yang, Weonho; Fidrmuc, Jan; Ghosh, Sugata - 2014

Ramey (2011a) and others argue that increases in government spending associated with wars and military build-ups constitute a good instrument for measuring the macroeconomic effects of fiscal shocks. We argue that this instrument has two important drawbacks: the composition of government...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256126

On the fiscal strategies of escaping poverty-environment traps (and) towards sustainable growth

Dao, Thang; Edenhofer, Ottmar - 2014

An economy with clean and dirty intermediate inputs may fall into a trap characterized by low environmental quality and low life expectancy, while the others converge to opposite steady states. We propose new strategies towards sustainable growth. They include: (i) taxes (subsidies) imposed on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010371912