We develop an epidemic model to explain and predict the dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 virus and to assess the economic … costs of lockdown scenarios. The standard epidemic three-variable model, SIR (Susceptible, Infected and Removed) is extended … epidemic results on hospital, morbidity and mortality together with macroeconomic impacts show that the total net benefits of …

The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between globalization, Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19 … cannot explain cross-country differences in COVID-19 confirmed deaths. The fatalities of coronavirus are mostly explained by …

during an epidemic? We study a setting where ICU resources are constrained while suppression is costly (e.g., limiting … suppression measures are continuously taken to hold down the spread throughout the epidemic, is suboptimal. Instead, the optimal … suppression is discountinuous. The epidemic should be left unregulated in a first phase and when the ICU constraint is approaching …

remove concurrent policy bias from the effect of each policy of interest, and we establish that policies curb the epidemic by …

while keeping the epidemic in check. Here I use basic economic principles to shed light on the key tradeoffs. A central …