Showing 1 - 10 of 4,198
of bond purchases larger than the impact of purchases of ETFs. Exploiting cross-sectional evidence, we see the greatest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012310585
Theory predicts that the equilibrium real interest rate, r*t, and the perceived trend in inflation, ð*t, are key …*t substantially increases the accuracy of long-range interest rate forecasts, helps predict excess bond returns, improves estimates of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688099
structure can help predict interest rates and excess bond returns. We demonstrate that the statistical tests that have been used … slope of the yield curve are robust predictors of excess bond returns, and there is no robust and convincing evidence for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346306
In this paper we model the volatility of the spread between the overnight interest rate and the central bank policy rate (the policy spread) for the euro area and the UK during the two main phases of the financial crisis that began in late 2007. During the crisis, the policy spread exhibited...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003983199
This paper investigates the informational efficiency of green bond markets using a recently introduced quantitative … inefficiency of the green bond market is generally found to be very similar to that of benchmark bond markets such as treasury bond … green bond markets are very similar to those in the benchmark bond markets. In other words, fundamental factors that drive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505807
We shed light on the function, properties and optimal size of austerity using the standard sovereign debt model augmented to include incomplete information about credit risk. Austerity is defined as the shortfall of consumption from the level desired by a country and supported by its repayment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010468584
In this article we focus on a representative firm that can decide when to invest under default risk. On the one hand, this firm can benefit from generous tax depreciation allowances, on the other hand it faces a default risk. Our aim is to study the effects of tax depreciation allowances in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011416013
This project analyzes how a principal can motivate an agent to conserve rather than exploit a depletable resource. This dynamic problem is relevant for tropical deforestation as well as for other environmental problems. It is shown that the smaller is the agent's discount factor (e.g., because...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014307153
This paper extends the benchmark Macro-Finance model by introducing, next to the standard macroeconomic factors, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED spread while the return-forecasting (risk premium) factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937808
Because of the uncertainty about how to model the growth process of our economy, there is still much confusion about which discount rates should be used to evaluate actions having long-lasting impacts, as in the contexts of climate change, social security reforms or large public infrastructures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009689360