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macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the … estimating risk premia and highlights the proliferation of risk pricing factors that result in a wide range of different asset …-price-based expectation measures. It then describes a key methodological innovation to evaluate the empirical plausibility of risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
Interbank claims are a concern to regulators as they might facilitate the dissemination of defaults and generate spill-over effects. Building on a simple model, this paper introduces a measure of the spill-over effects that a bank generates when it defaults. The measure is based on an explicit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509633
ante risk assessment and derive risk premia for every balance sheet item where liabilities are differentiated according to … priority rights. We find that risk premia reflect both idiosyncratic risk and risk of contagion (network risk). Moreover, we … show that network risk magnifies the gap between the risk premia of equity and debt. We also perform comparative statics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013457674
degree of pessimism of the representative agent is the mean of the individual ones weighted by their index of absolute risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507677
I distinguish two types of macroeconomic models. The first type are top-down models in which some or all agents are capable of understanding the whole picture and use this superior information to determine their optimal plans. The second type are bottom-up models in which all agents experience...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965858
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003712532
increasing term structure for the risk premium. It also implies that, under the assumption that the cumulants of the distribution … investment is larger than half of relative risk aversion. Another important consequence of parametric uncertainty is that the … risk premium is not proportional to the beta of the investment. We apply these general results to the case of an uncertain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009689360
How do short and long term interest rates respond to a jump in financial uncertainty? We address this question by conducting a local projections analysis with US monthly data, period: 1962-2018. The state-of-the-art financial uncertainty measure proposed by Ludvigson, Ma, and Ng (2019) is found...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029082
-sectional firm dynamics ; lumpy investment ; countercyclical risk ; aggregate shocks ; idiosyncratic shocks ; heterogeneous firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003888063
This paper uses a nonlinear vector autoregression and a non-recursive identification strategy to show that an equal-sized uncertainty shock generates a larger contraction in real activity when growth is low (as in recessions) than when growth is high (as in expansions). An estimated New...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628705