Showing 1 - 10 of 33
We investigate the intertemporal risk-return trade-off of foreign exchange (FX) rates for ten currencies quoted against the USD. For each currency, we use three risk measures simultaneously that pertain to that currency; its realized volatility, its realized skewness, and its value-at-risk. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976547
probability measure from "medium" size jumps in high-frequency intraday prices and an extreme value theory approximation for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158966
This paper discusses a number of likelihood ratio tests on long-run relations and common trends in the I(2) model and provide new results on the test of overidentifying restrictions on beta xt and the asymptotic variance for the stochastic trends parameters, alpha 1: How to specify deterministic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217147
with in-fill asymptotic arguments for uniquely identifying the "large" jumps from the data. The estimation allows for very … variation in the stochastic volatility. On implementing the new estimation procedure with actual high-frequency data for the S …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144212
consider the no arbitrage constraints. We introduce a two-step estimation procedure for the FVECM parameters and we show the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152222
more aggressively when inflation is high than when it is low. Similarly, it might be expected that the Federal Reserve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148557
This paper presents a dynamic factor model in which the extracted factors and shocks are given a clear economic interpretation. The economic interpretation of the factors is obtained by means of a set of over-identifying loading restrictions, while the structural shocks are estimated following...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155955
estimation of the integrated volatility in the presence of microstructure noise and are closely related to the original concept …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217143
We show that dividend growth predictability by the dividend yield is the rule rather than the exception in global equity markets. Dividend predictability is weaker, however, in large and developed markets where dividends are smoothed more, the typical firm is large, and volatility is lower. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116437
of financial economics is naturally linked with the theory of volatility modeling and forecasting, and in particular with … complicates estimation and inference. Further, the presence of an additional state variable|volatility|renders the model less … tractable from an analytic perspective. New estimation methods, combined with model restrictions that allow for closed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014197525