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This paper proposes a sequential procedure to determine the common cointegration rank of panels of cointegrated VARs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008752898
(CVAR) with general cointegration rank. Our hedge is optimal in the sense of minimum variance portfolio. We consider a model … correlation and cointegration parameters. For short holding periods the correlation impact is predominant. For long horizons, the … hedge ratio should overweight the cointegration parameters rather then short-run correlation information. In the infinite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010940883
The literature on spurious regressions has found that the t-statistic for testing the null of no relationship between two independent variables diverges asymptotically under a wide variety of nonstationary data generating processes for the dependent and explanatory variables. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147394
Low birthweight outcomes are associated with large social and economic costs, and therefore the possible determinants of low birthweight are of great interest. One such determinant which has received considerable attention is maternal smoking. From an economic perspective this is in part due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440073
We propose a new estimator, the thresholded scaled Lasso, in high dimensional threshold regressions. First, we establish an upper bound on the sup-norm estimation error of the scaled Lasso estimator of Lee et al. (2012). This is a non-trivial task as the literature on highdimensional models has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011168920
The Lee and Carter (1992) model assumes that the deterministic and stochastic time series dynamics loads with identical weights when describing the development of age specific mortality rates. Effectively this means that the main characteristics of the model simplifies to a random walk model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011079279
We establish oracle inequalities for a version of the Lasso in high-dimensional fixed effects dynamic panel data models. The inequalities are valid for the coefficients of the dynamic and exogenous regressors. Separate oracle inequalities are derived for the fixed effects. Next, we show how one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115312
This paper is concerned with high-dimensional panel data models where the number of regressors can be much larger than the sample size. Under the assumption that the true parameter vector is sparse we establish finite sample upper bounds on the estimation error of the Lasso under two different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851282
I investigate the time variation in the integration of EU government bond markets. The integration is measured by the explanatory power of European factor portfolios for the individual bond markets for each year. The integration of the government bond markets is stronger for EMU than non-EMU...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851292
What has been the quantitative effect on productivity growth of information and communication technology (ICT) in Europe after 1995? Based on a multi-country sectoral panel data set, we provide econometric evidence of positive and signi?cant productivity effects of ICT in Europe, mainly due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008509118