Showing 1 - 8 of 8
In this paper we show that fully likelihood-based estimation and comparison of multivariate stochastic volatility (SV) models can be easily performed via a freely available Bayesian software called WinBUGS. Moreover, we introduce to the literature several new specifications that are natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009228571
algorithm mixed together with the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methodology. Adding an MCMC step to the auxiliary particle … algorithm. A numerical comparison with a full MCMC procedure is also provided. We also extend our methodology to superposition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009207147
We complete the development of a testing ground for axioms of discrete stochastic choice. Our contribution here is to develop new posterior simulation methods for Bayesian inference, suitable for a class of prior distributions introduced by McCausland and Marley (2013). These prior distributions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010687592
process. Flexible alternatives are Markov-switching GARCH and change-point GARCH models. They require estimation by MCMC … essential for determining the number of regimes or change-points. We solve the problem by using particle MCMC, a technique …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010615163
We complete the development of a testing ground for axioms of discrete stochastic choice. Our contribution here is to develop new posterior simulation methods for Bayesian inference, suitable for a class of prior distributions introduced by McCausland and Marley (2013). These prior distributions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011186236
Researchers often report point estimates of turning point(s) obtained in polynomial regression models but rarely assess the precision of these estimates. We discuss three methods to assess the precision of such turning point estimates. The first is the delta method that leads to a normal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005511883
Sungbae An and Frank Schorfheide have provided an excellent review of the main elements of Bayesian inference in Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models. Bayesian methods have, for reasons clearly outlined in the paper, a very natural role to play in DSGE analysis, and the appeal of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005511955
In this paper we assess the causal impact of HIV/AIDS on monetary poverty using a panel data-set from South Africa and modeling the consequences of the illness on both earnings and transfers. Two major econometric problems are likely to bias the estimation: endogeneity of the HIV/AIDS dummy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005467336