Showing 1 - 10 of 135
We present a new method for estimating Bayesian vector autoregression (VAR) models using priors from a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. We use the DSGE model priors to determine the moments of an independent Normal-Wishart prior for the VAR parameters. Two hyper-parameters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429958
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the empirical performance of the standard New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model in its usual form with full-information rational expectations and compare it with versions assuming inattentiveness- namely sticky information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272178
In the context of an autoregressive panel data model with fixed effect, we examine the relationship between consistent parameter estimation and consistent model selection. Consistency in parameter estimation is achieved by using the tansformation of the fixed effect proposed by Lancaster (2002)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288764
Following Lancaster (2002), we propose a strategy to solve the incidental parameter problem. The method is demonstrated under a simple panel Poisson count model. We also extend the strategy to accomodate cases when information orthogonality is unavailable, such as the linear AR(p) panel model....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288792
In the context of an autoregressive panel data model with fixed effect, we examine the relationship between consistent parameter estimation and consistent model selection. Consistency in parameter estimation is achieved by using the transformation of the fixed effect proposed by Lancaster...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036277
Following Lancaster (2002), we propose a strategy to solve the incidental parameter problem. The method is demonstrated under a simple panel Poisson count model. We also extend the strategy to accomodate cases when information orthogonality is unavailable, such as the linear AR(p) panel model....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036278
This Paper describes a procedure for constructing theory restricted prior distributions for BVAR models. The Bayes Factor, which is obtained without any additional computational effort, can be used to assess the plausibility of the restrictions imposed on the VAR parameter vector by competing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162739
This Paper describes a procedure for constructing theory restricted prior distributions for BVAR models. The Bayes Factor, which is obtained without any additional computational e?ort, can be used to assess the plausibility of the restrictions imposed on the VAR parameter vector by competing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322787
We investigate what determines China's housing price dynamics using a DSGE-VAR estimated with priors allowing for the featured operating of normal and "shadow" banks in China, with data observed between 2001 and 2014. We find that the housing demand shock, which is the essential factor for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011787162
This paper documents state dependence in labor market fluctuations. Using aThreshold Vector Autoregression model (TVAR), we establish that the unemployment rate, the job separation rate, and the job finding rate exhibit a larger response to productivity shocks during periods with low aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012875997