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Although, according to uncovered interest rate parity, exchange rates should move so as to prevent the carry trade being systematically profitable, there is a vast empirical literature demonstrating the opposite. High interest currencies more often tend to appreciate rather than depreciate, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010198460
Many recent papers have investigated the role played by volatility in determining the cross-section of currency returns. This paper employs two time-varying factor models: a threshold model and a Markov-switching model to price the excess returns from the currency carry trade. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012591966
Even though volatility spillover effects in global equity markets have been documented extensively, the transmission of illiquidity across national borders has not. In this paper, we propose a multiplicative error model (MEM) for the dynamics of illiquidity. We empirically study the illiquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011886097
Firstly, we show that domestic prices of net importer countries incorporate a risk premium, driven by higher moments of future nominal exchange rate returns and secondly, using US dollar exchange rates against three currencies of major net exporting countries to the US such as Canada, Japan and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230006
This paper introduces a novel model to analyse the impact of macroeconomic shocks on volatility spillovers within key financial markets, such as Stock, Bond, Gold and Crude Oil. By treating macroeconomic variables as external factors to financial market volatility, our study distinguishes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015149616
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We construct investor sentiment of UK stock market using the procedure of principal component analysis. Using sentiment-augmented EGARCH component model, we analyse the impacts of sentiment on market excess return, the permanent component of market volatility and the transitory component of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010380934
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