We study the effects of digital transformation in the EU on individual employment outcomes, wage growth, and income inequality, during the decade 2010-2019. Our results allow us to formulate a "conveyor-belt" hypothesis, whereas digital skills are important for finding a job, but less so for...

SimPaths is a family of models for individual and household life course events, all sharing common components. The framework is designed to project life histories through time, building up a detailed picture of career paths, family (inter)relations, health, and financial circumstances. It builds...

Introduction: Government policies on taxation and social security are important determinants of population health outcomes and health inequalities. However, there is a shortage of evidence to inform policymakers of the health consequences of such policies. The Health Equity and Its Economic...

We nowcast the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and related lock-down measures in the UK and then analyse the distributional and budgetary effects of the estimated individual income shocks, distinguishing between the effects of automatic stabilisers and those of the emergency policy...

Caring has its most obvious effects when it is actually required. Yet the effects of care are likely to extend to other periods of the life course. People may anticipate the need to provide informal care, either as part of their fertility decisions, or in response to deteriorating health of...

In this paper, we introduce UKMOD, a new tax-benefit model for England, Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland and the whole of the UK. The model originates and replaces as a stand-alone model the UK component of EUROMOD, the tax-benefit model for the European Union member states, which from 2021 is...

This paper investigates the behavioural dynamics of the take-up of social benefits in the UK. Utilising data from the first nine waves (2010-2019) of the UK Household Longitudinal Study (UKHLS) and eligibility simulations based on the UKMOD tax-benefit calculator (UKHLS-UKMOD), the study finds...

We analyse the complex dynamic feedback effects between different life domains over the life course, providing a quantification of the direct (not mediated) and indirect (mediated) effects. To extend the analysis in scope and time beyond limitation of existing data, we use a rich dynamic...

We propose a model-based decomposition method for the aggregate labour share in terms of the first moments of the joint distribution of TFP, market power, wages and prices, and apply it to UK manufacturing using firm-level data for 1998-2014. Contrary to a narrative focussing on increasing...

We suggest a new individual-based measure of economic insecurity where expectations about the future evolution of individual life courses are derived from a dynamic simulation model. This allows to take into account risks over many dimensions including work, family and health. On the earning...