Recent studies of aggregate job flows in the US economy indicate that (i) specific sectoral shocks are important to account for aggregate job flows dynamics and (ii) aggregate creation and destruction dynamics display significant non-linearities. This paper aims to study whether a simple...

This paper presents stochastic simulations of a non-linear Phillips curve model with a random shock on the labor market, a random shock on inflation, and 20 state variables to represent a rather complex dynamical adjustment. Various methods are used to perform the simulations: two approaches to...

We study the welfare implications of shutting down long-run unemployment and exclusion. We develop a heterogeneous-agents model along the lines of Krussell and Smith (1998) that takes the existence of uninsured long-run unemployment explicitly into account. The status of a given individual in...