Motivated from the charting analysis in the financial industry, Chen and He (2003) are the first to use self-organizing maps to search for and identify price patterns. Such a model is referred to as the trajectory-domain model (TDM). Chen and Tsao (2003) apply the TDMs to three American stock...

Using GP with lambda abstraction module mechanism to generate technical trading rules based on S&P 500 index, we find strong evidence of excess returns over buy-and-hold after transaction cost on the testing period from 1989 to 2002. The rules can be interpreted easily; each uses a combination...

Various Computational Intelligence (CI) tools have been devised to depict the essential learning or adapting processes people adopt when they are making decisions. If the learning process people possess is indeed well described by some CI algorithms, then there arise an interesting question:...

This paper extends the well known Capital Asset Pricing Model by Sharpe and Lintner to a multi-period context with possibly price dependent preferences. The model is built from individual forward looking agents adopting a portfolio selection scheme similar to the portfolio selection theory...

A well known problem in economics is to describe properly a situation where N agents are repeatedly competing to use the same limited resource. A version of this problem is known in the literature as the El Farol game: week after week N agents face the decision whether to go or not to go to a...

The bond-equity yield ratio is defined as the ratio of the coupon yield on long government bonds to the dividend yield on equity. Commonly named in the UK as the gilt-equity yield ratio (GEYR), it has been argued to capture the relative value of bonds and equities through the differential in...

We investigate an inflationary overlapping generations model where households predict future inflation rates by running a least squares regression of inflation rates or prices on their past levels. We critically examine the results on learning equilibria obtained by Bullard (1994) and...

There is now considerable evidence that business cycle variation in output and employment in the U.S. differs in expansions and contractions. We present nonparametric evidence that asymmetries are strongest in durable goods manufacturing. In a Markov switching framework, we find two leading...

In this paper we concentrate on the hypothesis that the empirical rejections of the Expectations Theory(ET) of the term structure of interest rates can be caused by improper modelling of expectations. Our starting point is an interesting anomaly found by Campbell-Shiller(1987), when by taking a...

I ask whether differences in labor market performance between the US and Europe can be attributed to an interaction between employment protection legislation (EPL) and an acceleration in the rate of capital-embodied technical change associated with the advent of information technologies. I find...