We characterise the relationships between preliminary and subsequent measurements for 16 commonly-used UK macroeconomic indicators drawn from two existing real-time data sets and a new nominal variable database. Most preliminary measurements are biased predictors of subsequent measurements, with...

In this paper we analyse the effect of model uncertainty on the wealth and utility outcomes of an investment decision. We compute optimal portfolio weights for domestic and foreign assets and using these weights we construct end investment horizon wealth and utility ratios. Model uncertainty is...